8105 Casuarina Dr · Bayonet Point, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has been subject to recent total modernization including, New Roof (30 year guarantee), New Oak Kitchen and counter tops, New range, microwave and dishwasher, New Bathrooms tile and vanity units etc. , New Paint inside and out, New A/C ducts and return, New Wood flooring, New carpets to bedrooms, New Ceiling fans and lights throughout, New tiled front porch/lanai, Window treatments throughout. The kitchen area has been opened up to provide a breakfast bar and new in-ceiling lighting. This 1383 square foot home is situated in a quiet drive in Timber Oaks, a 55+ community set in a mature tree-filled picturesque area with large club house, and community pool. Nothing to do- just bring your furniture!
Key facts
- Sunroom entry
- Newer windows
- Huge closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total annual fees $660
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA $55 (includes pool and recreational facilities); Association: RESOURCE PROPERTY MANAGEMENT/JACK SMITH; Deed restrictions; Community pool and tennis courts; Street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Oversized garage with garage door opener; Attached garage (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; BB/HS internet available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Fire hydrant nearby; Sprinkler well
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces southwest; PUD zoning; Homestead property
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-level home
- Exterior features: Irrigation equipment; Asphalt road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (95 x 89 x 55)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Thermostat; Window treatments; Skylight(s); L-shaped dining area
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside with corridor access; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-277/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Schrader Elementary School (math 38% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,656 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 601 students, 82% FRL); Bayonet Point Middle School (math 38% / reading 35%, grade F, #405 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 737 students, 84% FRL); Fivay High School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,610 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 48% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 582 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $215k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.46%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,004
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10310 Amadeus Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,426 (+3%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $196 | 76 |
| 8341 Duval Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,422 (+3%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $174 | 75 |
| 8425 Goldome Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,390 (+0%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $198 | 75 |
| 8324 Winding Wood Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,490 (+8%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $185 | 75 |
| 11114 White Oak Ln | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,426 (+3%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $154 | 66 |
| 8240 National Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $190 | 65 |
| 8648 Gold Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,430 (+3%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 10206 Willow Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-10%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $218 | 60 |
| 11200 Tamarix Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,306 (-6%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $143 | 59 |
| 8428 Paxton Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,442 (+4%) | 2mo | $166,100 | $115 | 57 |
| 8210 National Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,515 (+10%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 10223 Flagship Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-9%) | 1mo | $278,000 | $220 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-39,266
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-47,871
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34668
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,727 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $38 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-84 | +10% $-145 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-159 | -5% $-91 | +0% $-23 | +5% $45 | +10% $113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $32 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-79 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10632 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,583 | $1.33 | 26d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10502 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,545 | $1.54 | 26d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10802 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,545 | $1.54 | 26d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 7839 Canna Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8024 Las Cruces Ct Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7808 Talisman Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $2,100 | $1.98 | 26d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10816 Piccadilly Rd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10801 Oldham Rd Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,500 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8015 San Fernando Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $2,400 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8431 Duval Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,731 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10629 Cymbid Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10303 Gardenia Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10331 Flagship Ave Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10225 Gardenia Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,495 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7835 Arbordale Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10905 Kingsbridge Rd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,566 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7804 Birchwood Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,750 | $1.16 | 26d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8019 Portage Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11138 Yellowwood Ln Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10401 Oleander Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7438 Coventry Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7724 Tyson Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7705 Ilex Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7416 Star Dust Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7514 Spirea Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1696 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7514 Spirea Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1696 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10803 Hyssop St Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9820 Rainbow Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,325 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7540 Venice Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8161 Braddock Cir #1 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11241 Yewtree Ave Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7730 Greybirch Ter Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7815 Treasure Pointe Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1682 | $2,024 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9845 Lake Chrise Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $1,961 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7531 Greybirch Ter Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7202 Palisade Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 26d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8437 Luray Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,595 | $1.54 | 6d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7804 Topay Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,795 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $214,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $214,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $214,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $214,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $214,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $214,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $214,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $214,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-25$219,000 Active
-
2009-06-10soldstatus $88,000
-
2009-06-08soldstatus $88,000 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has been subject to recent total modernization including, New Roof (30 year guarantee), New Oak Kitchen and counter tops, New range, microwave and dishwasher, New Bathrooms tile and vanity units etc. , New Paint inside and out, New A/C ducts and return, New Wood flooring, New carpets to bedrooms, New Ceiling fans and lights throughout, New tiled front porch/lanai, Window treatments throughout. The kitchen area has been opened up to provide a breakfast bar and new in-ceiling lighting. This 1383 square foot home is situated in a quiet drive in Timber Oaks, a 55+ community set in a mature tree-filled picturesque area with large club house, and community pool. Nothing to do- just bring your furniture!
-
2008-08-26$99,950 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has been subject to recent total modernization including, New Roof (30 year guarantee), New Oak Kitchen and counter tops, New range, microwave and dishwasher, New Bathrooms tile and vanity units etc. , New Paint inside and out, New A/C ducts and return, New Wood flooring, New carpets to bedrooms, New Ceiling fans and lights throughout, New tiled front porch/lanai, Window treatments throughout. The kitchen area has been opened up to provide a breakfast bar and new in-ceiling lighting. This 1383 square foot home is situated in a quiet drive in Timber Oaks, a 55+ community set in a mature tree-filled picturesque area with large club house, and community pool. Nothing to do- just bring your furniture!
-
2008-08-07historical
-
2008-04-24$125,000
-
2008-02-19soldstatus $76,000
-
2008-02-15soldstatus $76,000
-
2008-02-04$112,000
-
1978-02-01soldstatus $36,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,387 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,784 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$1,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,657
- − Management
- −$1,657
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$4,007
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$962
- After-tax cash flow
- $684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bayonet Point
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #8934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayonet Point, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,442
- Household income
- $47,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2699.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.64%
- Current HPI
- 359.7163
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.28%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+500.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-08 Sold (MLS) $88,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-26 Listed $99,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-24 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2008-02-15 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-04 Listed $112,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1978-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,387 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…