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245 E Fm 772
C Composite 58.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

245 E Fm 772 · Ricardo, TX 78363
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1980 2.00 ac lot $64/sqft · 58% below area ↓ 52% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,151 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Ricardo ISD (rural): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #277 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$322,705
List price
$134,900
Delta
-58.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 N County Road 1060 0.32mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,906 (-9%) 6mo $435,000 $228 56
195 E Fm 772 0.50mi 3/3.0 1,920 (-9%) 22mo $275,000 $143 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,976
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$36,136
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78363

Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,236/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,466
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,900 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,900 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $134,900 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $144,900 Active 114 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $144,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  18. 2026-05-15
    price $144,900 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  19. 2026-03-20
    price $154,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  20. 2026-03-20
    price $154,900 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  21. 2026-03-16
    price $164,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  22. 2026-03-16
    price $164,900 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  23. 2026-03-07
    price $174,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  24. 2026-03-06
    price $174,900 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  25. 2026-02-21
    price $189,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  26. 2026-02-21
    price $189,900 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  27. 2026-02-05
    listed $199,900 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  28. 2026-02-05
    listed $199,900 Active 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 2 acres outside city limits. No utilities will be turned on by any party for inspections or appraisals. This property has now been entered into an online auction. The first online event will begin on 4-5-26 thru 4-7-26.

  29. 2025-12-29
    price $209,900
  30. 2025-11-27
    price $229,900
  31. 2025-10-28
    price $239,900
  32. 2025-10-02
    price $259,900
  33. 2025-09-17
    price $269,900
  34. 2025-08-04
    price $279,900
  35. 2025-06-18
    listed $299,900 Active
  36. 1997-09-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,236 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,236 · $270/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,417
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$3,236
− Insurance
−$2,177
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,553
− Management
−$1,553
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$140
After-tax cash flow
$1,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ricardo ISD
NCES district ID
4836930
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$57,642
Composite
38.08/100
National rank
#4280
State rank
#277 of 826 in TX

Livability — Ricardo

Score
59/100
State rank
#1151
US rank
#20217

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kleberg County · 28,920 people
Metro
Kingsville, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,920
Household income
$60,574
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1663.0

Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,615 people
By 2030
32,054 · +1.4%
By 2040
33,008 · +4.4%
By 2050
34,536 · +9.2%
By 2075
40,931 · +29.5%
By 2100
46,001 · +45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.12%
Current HPI
147.6473
Rent YoY
▲ 7.18%
Metro
Kingsville, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-51.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $144,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $144,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $154,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $154,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $164,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $164,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $174,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $174,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $189,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $189,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $199,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $199,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $209,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-11-27 Price Changed $229,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $239,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $259,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $269,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $279,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $299,900 CBMLS
  • 1997-09-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,236 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…