6225 State Hwy A · Bragg City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well maintained country home with acreage! These opportunities don't come up often in this area!! 3-bedroom 1 bath home located on 2 acres of land & surrounded by farmland! This well-maintained home has a lifetime of memories throughout the years with the original owners. It is the perfect place to start a new generation of memories and make your country living dreams a reality! The attic area has been converted into livable/ usable space! This bonus area would be great for a hobby room, storage, or a playroom. The pecan trees are a great way to generate extra revenue. The shop/barn has a new roof and has been very well maintained. Also includes a new Generac generator! call today to
Key facts
- Converted attic
- Shop barn
- Pecan trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank for sewer; Electricity connected (single phase, 220 volts available)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Property includes many trees; Approximately 2 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen equipped with dishwasher, microwave, range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Other heating system; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#847 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Kennett 39 (town): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #262 of 324 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: H. Byron Masterson Elem. (451 students, 99% FRL); Kennett High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 497 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Pemiscot County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pemiscot County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $25,380
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $74,113
- Equity at exit
- $79,690
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63827
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $687/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $247 | -5% $214 | +0% $182 | +5% $149 | +10% $116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $93 | -5% $137 | +0% $182 | +5% $226 | +10% $271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $239 | -0.5pp $211 | base $182 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$429/yr (+$36/mo · 62.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$687
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennett 39
- NCES district ID
- 2916500
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,065
- Composite
- 26.12/100
- National rank
- #7284
- State rank
- #262 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bragg City
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #847
- US rank
- #24727
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 538
Population outlook (Pemiscot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,803 people
- By 2030
- 14,934 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 13,246 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 11,669 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 8,426 · -46.7%
- By 2100
- 6,057 · -61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 30% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pemiscot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.3% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+33.5 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $687 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…