1318 State Rd · Webster, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026
Key facts
- Private backyard
- 0.36 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.9% in Webster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#221 in NY, #3,471 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
- Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $177k; list at $290k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.86%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $331,697
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- -12.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Kathrene Ct | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,416 (+7%) | 17mo | $306,000 | $216 | 67 |
| 218 Champion Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (0%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $246 | 66 |
| 182 Iroquois St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,343 (+2%) | 9mo | $268,000 | $200 | 66 |
| 1059 Fawn Wood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,312 (-1%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $297 | 60 |
| 160 Iroquois St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,372 (+4%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 171 Champion Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (+4%) | 9mo | $309,000 | $226 | 53 |
| 29 Seneca St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (-7%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 91 Pontiac St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,177 (-11%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $204 | 51 |
| 143 London Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+11%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 55 Curtice Park | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,258 (-5%) | 10mo | $242,500 | $193 | 49 |
| 1113 S Creek Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (+12%) | 13mo | $415,000 | $279 | 41 |
| 193 Iroquois St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,192 (-10%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $206 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-64,975
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-83,509
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14580
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,407 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$522 /mo · $6,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $-261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-97 | -5% $-179 | +0% $-261 | +5% $-343 | +10% $-425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-451 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-261 | +5% $-166 | +10% $-71 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-115 | -0.5pp $-188 | base $-261 | +0.5pp $-336 | +1.0pp $-413 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1419 Ridge Rd Unit 155 RC Webster, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,750 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 155 Redon Cir Webster, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,750 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 129 Breno Dr Webster, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1143 | $2,330 | $2.04 | 4d | 14 | 1.03mi |
| 185 Country Manor Way Webster, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 700 | $1,819 | $2.60 | 4d | 19 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026
-
2026-04-21$289,900 Active 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026
-
2020-06-26soldstatus $176,533 Closed Sale or Rented 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!
-
2020-06-26soldstatus $176,533
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!
-
2020-05-10status Pending Sale 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!
-
2020-05-03$159,900 Active 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!
-
2013-01-31soldstatus $144,000
-
2013-01-31soldstatus $145,000
-
2012-11-12$144,900
-
2007-10-19soldstatus $134,500
-
2002-06-24soldstatus $112,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,264 · $522/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,264 · $522/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$6,264
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,311
- − Management
- −$2,311
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$8,120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,949
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630360
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,221
- Composite
- 55.18/100
- National rank
- #1273
- State rank
- #184 of 590 in NY
Livability — Webster
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #3471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Webster, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 54,180
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,180
- Household income
- $98,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1325.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.52%
- Current HPI
- 266.2145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+158.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $289,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $176,533 Public Records
- 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $176,533 UNYREIS
- 2020-05-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-05-03 Listed $159,900 UNYREIS
- 2013-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2013-01-31 Sold (MLS) $144,000 UNYREIS
- 2012-11-12 Listed $144,900 UNYREIS
- 2007-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
- 2002-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,264 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…