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1318 State Rd
D Composite 42.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

1318 State Rd · Webster, NY 14580
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1972 0.36 ac lot $220/sqft · 13% below area Est $332k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • 0.36 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDNEWLY BUILT REDWOOD DECKENERGY EFFICIENT SOLAR PANELS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (15.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.9% in Webster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#221 in NY, #3,471 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
  • Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $177k; list at $290k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $240,735 (17.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.86%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$331,697
List price
$289,900
Delta
-12.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Kathrene Ct 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,416 (+7%) 17mo $306,000 $216 67
218 Champion Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,320 (0%) 11mo $325,000 $246 66
182 Iroquois St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,343 (+2%) 9mo $268,000 $200 66
1059 Fawn Wood Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,312 (-1%) 2mo $390,000 $297 60
160 Iroquois St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,372 (+4%) 11mo $230,000 $168 58
171 Champion Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,368 (+4%) 9mo $309,000 $226 53
29 Seneca St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,225 (-7%) 17mo $220,000 $180 52
91 Pontiac St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,177 (-11%) 15mo $240,000 $204 51
143 London Rd 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,464 (+11%) 7mo $220,000 $150 49
55 Curtice Park 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,258 (-5%) 10mo $242,500 $193 49
1113 S Creek Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+12%) 13mo $415,000 $279 41
193 Iroquois St 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (-10%) 16mo $245,000 $206 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-64,975
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
-20.0%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-83,509
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14580

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$522 /mo · $6,264/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$-261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,738
Max offer price $243,746
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-179 +0% $-261 +5% $-343 +10% $-425
Rent -10% $-451 -5% $-356 +0% $-261 +5% $-166 +10% $-71
Rate -1.0pp $-115 -0.5pp $-188 base $-261 +0.5pp $-336 +1.0pp $-413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1419 Ridge Rd Unit 155 RC Webster, NY 3.0 2.5 1670 $2,750 $1.65 25d 1 0.83mi
155 Redon Cir Webster, NY 3.0 2.5 1670 $2,750 $1.65 25d 1 0.88mi
129 Breno Dr Webster, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1143 $2,330 $2.04 4d 14 1.03mi
185 Country Manor Way Webster, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 700 $1,819 $2.60 4d 19 1.05mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026

  2. 2026-04-21
    listed $289,900 Active 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to a place where life truly is worth living!! This Charming 3 Bdrm Colonial is perfectly nestled in one of Webster's most loved areas- offering space, privacy, and endless potential to make it your own. You'll love the private backyard for entertaining on your deck and enjoying the Park next door! Newly Built Redwood Deck for enjoying your morning Coffee and waiting for your day to start. 2 Car attached garage has extra storage and you own your own energy efficient Solar Panels Bring your finishing touches to make it your own making this home full of opportunity and heart. Just Bring your Vision and Fall in Love!!! This is the kind of home where you can build equity and make memories at the same time. Open House Sunday April 26th 11:30 to 1 pm Please come join us for some goodies and see a Great Home Delayed Negotiations until Wednesday April 29th, 2026

  3. 2020-06-26
    soldstatus $176,533 Closed Sale or Rented 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!

  4. 2020-06-26
    soldstatus $176,533
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!

  5. 2020-05-10
    status Pending Sale 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!

  6. 2020-05-03
    listed $159,900 Active 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    ADORABLE 3 bed 1.5 bath IMMACULATE Colonial in Webster may be your next home! ENERGY EFFICIENT solar panels cuts energy costs. Great floor plan: Eat in kitchen, Gather w/ friends & family in the formal din. room. Relax in the living room. Natural light through out. The partially finished basement is perfect for a playroom, media room or office. Large fully fenced back yard with deck has plenty of space for those summer picnics or just private family time. Green Light Internet Service Available! Transferable lifetime duct cleaning service. This property is close to schools, shopping and entertainment. HURRY this property will not last long. Enjoy a virtual tour today!

  7. 2013-01-31
    soldstatus $144,000
  8. 2013-01-31
    soldstatus $145,000
  9. 2012-11-12
    listed $144,900
  10. 2007-10-19
    soldstatus $134,500
  11. 2002-06-24
    soldstatus $112,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,264 · $522/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,264 · $522/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,888
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$6,264
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,311
− Management
−$2,311
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$8,120
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,949
After-tax cash flow
$-1,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Central School District
NCES district ID
3630360
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$71,221
Composite
55.18/100
National rank
#1273
State rank
#184 of 590 in NY

Livability — Webster

Score
76/100
State rank
#221
US rank
#3471

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Webster, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
54,180
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
54,180
Household income
$98,310
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1325.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.52%
Current HPI
266.2145
Rent YoY
▲ 2.38%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+158.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $289,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $176,533 Public Records
  • 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $176,533 UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-10 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-03 Listed $159,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2013-01-31 Sold (MLS) $144,000 UNYREIS
  • 2012-11-12 Listed $144,900 UNYREIS
  • 2007-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
  • 2002-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,264 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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