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118 Polk Road 76 E
B Composite 70.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

118 Polk Road 76 E · Acorn, AR 71953
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1975 2.50 ac lot $84/sqft · 16% below area Est $102k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-bedroom, 1-bath home of approximately 1,008 square feet on about 2.5 acres just outside Mena, Arkansas, offering a true fixer opportunity with room to create your own vision. The land feels open and usable, with space that may allow for additional homes or mobile homes to be placed, moved onto, or built for extra income or multigenerational living. On-site features reportedly include a large Conex-style storage container with power, an existing well that will need a pump and buyer inspection, and an additional water meter off Morgan Lane where it crosses the property, which may provide a future water source for added structures. If you have been looking for Mena, AR investment property, a small acreage project, or a place you can update and make your own, this one may meet your requirements.

Key facts

  • Existing well
  • Open and usable land
  • 2.5 acre lot

Tags

EXISTING WELLADDITIONAL WATER METEROPEN AND USABLE LAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ouachita River School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #140 of 238 in AR (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.34%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,636
List price
$85,000
Delta
-16.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
146 Polk Road 76w 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,068 (+6%) 3mo $53,500 $50 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$5,963
Equity at exit
$19,765
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$28,265
Equity at exit
$20,120

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71953

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    listed $85,000 New Listing 804-char remark
    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home of approximately 1,008 square feet on about 2.5 acres just outside Mena, Arkansas, offering a true fixer opportunity with room to create your own vision. The land feels open and usable, with space that may allow for additional homes or mobile homes to be placed, moved onto, or built for extra income or multigenerational living. On-site features reportedly include a large Conex-style storage container with power, an existing well that will need a pump and buyer inspection, and an additional water meter off Morgan Lane where it crosses the property, which may provide a future water source for added structures. If you have been looking for Mena, AR investment property, a small acreage project, or a place you can update and make your own, this one may meet your requirements.

  18. 1998-11-10
    soldstatus $12,000
  19. 1986-11-01
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,036
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$963
− Management
−$963
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,177
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$282
After-tax cash flow
$2,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita River School District
NCES district ID
0500073
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$35,228
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#7103
State rank
#140 of 238 in AR

Livability — Acorn

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,412

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,065 people
By 2030
18,369 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,156 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,177 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,642 · -23.2%
By 2100
13,020 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
278.2854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+466.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
  • 1998-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 1986-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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