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58 Fiddlers Ln
D Composite 44.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,900

58 Fiddlers Ln · Latham, NY 12110
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 1940 0.35 ac lot $271/sqft · 16% below area Est $451k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This expansive estate is nestled in a quiet, desirable neighborhood and boasts exceptional curb appeal. Perfectly situated near Newton Plaza, Sienna, and Shaker High School, the home offers both elegance and convenience. Inside, the main level features three spacious bedrooms, a full laundry area, and generous storage throughout. The lower level includes a separate walk-out entrance, two additional rooms, and a second laundry space—ideal for extended living or guest accommodations. Enjoy the comfort of two living rooms and two fully equipped kitchens, one on each floor, creating a versatile in-law or multi-generational setup. An attached garage adds even more convenience. This property truly offers an abundance of space, flexibility, and opportunity—the features just keep going!

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Quiet neighborhood
  • Two living rooms

Tags

QUIET NEIGHBORHOODSEPARATE WALK-OUT ENTRANCETWO LIVING ROOMSTWO FULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENSATTACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $340k (10.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $299k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.4% in Latham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • North Colonie CSD (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #102 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Shaker Middle School (math 54% / reading 72%, grade B+, #129 of 729 statewide, top 18%, 1,423 students, 26% FRL); Shaker High School (math 98% / reading 93%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 2,018 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $181k; list at $380k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $298,972 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$451,319
List price
$379,900
Delta
-15.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Meadow Ln 0.22mi 4/1.0 1,512 (+8%) 6mo $200,000 $132 66
6 Dan Del Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,372 (-2%) 7mo $283,000 $206 59
1 Alva Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,608 (+14%) 3mo $405,000 $252 57
2 Arthur Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,471 (+5%) 10mo $440,000 $299 54
92 Fiddlers Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,566 (+12%) 10mo $410,000 $262 53
549 Watervliet Shaker Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,394 (-1%) 7mo $295,000 $212 53
16 Meadow Ln 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+11%) 18mo $423,000 $271 50
7A Caroline St 0.55mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,324 (-6%) 12mo $427,000 $323 48
1 Southern Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,416 (+1%) 23mo $410,000 $290 44
1 Hoffman Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (+4%) 11mo $355,000 $244 43
34 Aspen Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,592 (+13%) 10mo $505,000 $317 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.5%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-75,852
Equity at exit
$56,644
10-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-84,394
Equity at exit
$32,847

Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12110

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,992
Tax from tax record
$436 /mo · $5,233/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$628
Net cashflow
$-225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,274
Max offer price $340,201
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-10 -5% $-117 +0% $-225 +5% $-332 +10% $-440
Rent -10% $-461 -5% $-343 +0% $-225 +5% $-107 +10% $11
Rate -1.0pp $-33 -0.5pp $-128 base $-225 +0.5pp $-323 +1.0pp $-423

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,975
Closing costs
$11,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 Dyer Dr Unit Na Latham, NY 3.0 2.0 1708 $3,000 $1.76 25d 1 0.34mi
2 Dyer Dr Latham, NY 3.0 2.0 1708 $3,000 $1.76 45d 1 0.34mi
5 Mockingbird Hl Latham, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $2,300 $2.00 16d 1 0.93mi
23 Lake Shore Dr Watervliet, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 911 $2,280 $2.50 16d 17 1.16mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 810-char remark
    Show marketing remark (810 chars)

    This expansive estate is nestled in a quiet, desirable neighborhood and boasts exceptional curb appeal. Perfectly situated near Newton Plaza, Sienna, and Shaker High School, the home offers both elegance and convenience. Inside, the main level features three spacious bedrooms, a full laundry area, and generous storage throughout. The lower level includes a separate walk-out entrance, two additional rooms, and a second laundry space—ideal for extended living or guest accommodations. Enjoy the comfort of two living rooms and two fully equipped kitchens, one on each floor, creating a versatile in-law or multi-generational setup. An attached garage adds even more convenience. This property truly offers an abundance of space, flexibility, and opportunity—the features just keep going!

  2. 2026-03-27
    status Active 810-char remark
    Show marketing remark (810 chars)

    This expansive estate is nestled in a quiet, desirable neighborhood and boasts exceptional curb appeal. Perfectly situated near Newton Plaza, Sienna, and Shaker High School, the home offers both elegance and convenience. Inside, the main level features three spacious bedrooms, a full laundry area, and generous storage throughout. The lower level includes a separate walk-out entrance, two additional rooms, and a second laundry space—ideal for extended living or guest accommodations. Enjoy the comfort of two living rooms and two fully equipped kitchens, one on each floor, creating a versatile in-law or multi-generational setup. An attached garage adds even more convenience. This property truly offers an abundance of space, flexibility, and opportunity—the features just keep going!

  3. 2026-03-11
    historical Contingent 810-char remark
    Show marketing remark (810 chars)

    This expansive estate is nestled in a quiet, desirable neighborhood and boasts exceptional curb appeal. Perfectly situated near Newton Plaza, Sienna, and Shaker High School, the home offers both elegance and convenience. Inside, the main level features three spacious bedrooms, a full laundry area, and generous storage throughout. The lower level includes a separate walk-out entrance, two additional rooms, and a second laundry space—ideal for extended living or guest accommodations. Enjoy the comfort of two living rooms and two fully equipped kitchens, one on each floor, creating a versatile in-law or multi-generational setup. An attached garage adds even more convenience. This property truly offers an abundance of space, flexibility, and opportunity—the features just keep going!

  4. 2025-11-25
    listed $379,900 Active 810-char remark
    Show marketing remark (810 chars)

    This expansive estate is nestled in a quiet, desirable neighborhood and boasts exceptional curb appeal. Perfectly situated near Newton Plaza, Sienna, and Shaker High School, the home offers both elegance and convenience. Inside, the main level features three spacious bedrooms, a full laundry area, and generous storage throughout. The lower level includes a separate walk-out entrance, two additional rooms, and a second laundry space—ideal for extended living or guest accommodations. Enjoy the comfort of two living rooms and two fully equipped kitchens, one on each floor, creating a versatile in-law or multi-generational setup. An attached garage adds even more convenience. This property truly offers an abundance of space, flexibility, and opportunity—the features just keep going!

  5. 2025-04-15
    historical
  6. 2025-01-19
    listed $379,900 Active
  7. 2022-12-06
    historical
  8. 2016-12-19
    soldstatus $181,000
  9. 2016-12-08
    soldstatus $181,000 Closed (Final Sale)
  10. 2016-10-13
    status Pend (Under Cntr)
  11. 2016-10-03
    listed $180,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,233 · $436/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,827 · $486/mo
Expected delta
+$594/yr (+$49/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,877
− Mortgage interest
−$21,280
− Property taxes
−$5,233
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,870
− Management
−$2,870
− Depreciation
−$11,052
Taxable loss
−$9,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,239
After-tax cash flow
$-458/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Colonie CSD
NCES district ID
3621000
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$74,762
Composite
64.2/100
National rank
#565
State rank
#102 of 590 in NY

Livability — Latham

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Latham, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
20,081
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
20,081
Household income
$105,024
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Asian 11% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.69%
Current HPI
310.884
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2025-11-25 Listed $379,900 Global MLS
  • 2025-04-15 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-01-19 Listed $379,900 Global MLS
  • 2022-12-06 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2016-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-08 Sold (MLS) $181,000 Global MLS
  • 2016-10-13 Pending Global MLS
  • 2016-10-03 Listed $180,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,233 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…