7450 Parkland Manor Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in a well-maintained Cypress community. The property features a functional single-story layout with a spacious living area, dining space, and a comfortable kitchen footprint ready for personalization. All bedrooms offer good natural light, and the primary suite includes its own private bath. Highest and best by Tuesday.
Key facts
- 4,935 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community Foundation Association with an annual fee of $500
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (first-floor living); Built in 1998; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor (including primary bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-23/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (0.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hopper Middle (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 930 students, 80% FRL); Cypress Springs H S (math 35% / reading 60%, grade D, #583 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 2,788 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 43% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 2034 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,785
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -15.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19826 Creston Cove Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+4%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $125 | 75 |
| 7402 Bering Landing Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-7%) | 0mo | $249,990 | $153 | 72 |
| 19943 Sycamore Valley Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,519 (-14%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $148 | 71 |
| 7507 Sendera Oaks Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (-12%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $151 | 70 |
| 20022 Rustic Lake Ln | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,905 (+8%) | 2mo | $252,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 7554 Appleberry Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,812 (+3%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $152 | 65 |
| 19538 Narcissus Brook Lane Ln | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (+2%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 20519 Holly Barr Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,751 (-0%) | 4mo | $269,999 | $154 | 65 |
| 19723 Mountain Dale Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (-7%) | 4mo | $247,500 | $151 | 56 |
| 7514 Appleberry Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,605 (-9%) | 4mo | $237,800 | $148 | 56 |
| 19623 Narcissus Brook Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+14%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 19134 S Whimsey Dr S | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-11%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $147 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-38,757
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -25.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-57,915
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77433
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 2034
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,213 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$576 /mo · $6,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-2
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20126 Breezy Oak Ct Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 7830 Ashland Springs Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2352 | $1,974 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 20123 Braley Ct Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1726 | $2,036 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7850 Maverick Trace Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1852 | $1,875 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 19758 Crossfalls Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2156 | $2,070 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 19715 Swan Valley Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,886 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 19815 Blushdawn Sierra Ct Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2590 | $2,050 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 20211 Longenbaugh Rd Cypress, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,506 | $2.35 | 2d | 27 | 0.54mi |
| 19442 Elmtree Estates Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $1,776 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 19434 Glenway Falls Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20519 Keegans Ledge Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1907 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7310 Coconut Bay Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,307 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6810 N Fry Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1151 | $2,683 | $2.33 | 2d | 56 | 0.96mi |
| 21010 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,768 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 21014 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2489 | $2,953 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 21038 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,676 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 19738 Tacoma Bluff Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2238 | $5,000 | $2.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 21046 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2489 | $3,045 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21034 Shore Oak Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2110 | $2,950 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 21038 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1904 | $2,491 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 21054 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1935 | $2,199 | $1.14 | 13d | 21 | 1.08mi |
| 7323 Livery Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,780 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 20735 Dewberry Creek Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,756 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 21054 Breezeway Cove Dr Bridgeland, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1784 | $2,408 | $1.35 | 3d | 41 | 1.16mi |
| 20507 Barker Bend Ct Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,825 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 18723 Lippizaner Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 11d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 18723 Lippizaner Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7750 Shavano Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2152 | $2,065 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6642 High Stone Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2091 | $1,999 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6619 Rusty Ridge Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19607 Buckland Park Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $1,965 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 21114 Montego Bay Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2124 | $2,499 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8119 Almera Falls Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,905 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 21235 Catalina Palm Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 21035 Carmel Valley Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $1,791 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 18531 Lippizaner Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,799 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6610 Gorton Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2481 | $750 | $0.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7546 Coral Terrace Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2050 | $2,699 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 19638 Billineys Park Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1752 | $1,750 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6502 Wellington Meadows Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 379-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $200,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $204,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $214,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $214,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $214,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$229,900 Active 350-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,910 · $576/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,910 · $576/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$6,910
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,131
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$751
- After-tax cash flow
- $728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,025
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2968
- State rank
- #161 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 116,550
- Household income
- $143,934
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1700.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.83%
- Current HPI
- 220.2136
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.27%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-13.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $200,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $204,999 HARMLS
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $214,900 HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $229,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,910 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…