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20807 E Glen Haven Cir
D Composite 42.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

20807 E Glen Haven Cir · Northville, MI 48167
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,095 sqft · Condo · 22 Days on market
Built 1977 $481/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • $481 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly association fee includes grounds and structure maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water; Association provides grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Condominium; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Built with brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Finished basement
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Exterior lighting; Community pool; Clubhouse; Sidewalks; Tennis courts; Paved road access; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Finished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (8.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (3.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $243k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.8% in Northville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#13 in MI, #205 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Novi Community School District (urban): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #7 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Orchard Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #132 of 1,397 statewide, top 11%, 410 students, 24% FRL); Novi High School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A-, #8 of 713 statewide, top 1%, 2,101 students, 11% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $265k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $243,388 (8.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-48,001
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-40,424
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48167

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,546 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,826/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$481
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$-122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,700
Max offer price $243,388
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $28 -5% $-47 +0% $-122 +5% $-197 +10% $-272
Rent -10% $-323 -5% $-223 +0% $-122 +5% $-22 +10% $79
Rate -1.0pp $11 -0.5pp $-55 base $-122 +0.5pp $-191 +1.0pp $-261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20828 W Glen Haven Cir Northville, MI 3.0 2.5 1863 $2,000 $1.07 3d 1 0.06mi
41705 Broquet Dr Northville, MI 3.0 1.5 2300 $2,750 $1.20 7d 1 0.41mi
19741 Cardene Way Northville, MI 3.0 3.0 2759 $4,850 $1.76 26d 1 0.63mi
19741 Cardene Way Unit NA Northville, MI 3.0 3.0 2750 $4,850 $1.76 7d 1 0.63mi
42480 Corlina Dr Northville, MI 2.0 2.5 1800 $2,400 $1.33 45d 1 1.03mi
416 S Center St Northville, MI 3.0 2.5 1997 $5,000 $2.50 6d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$481 · $5,772/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

  2. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

  3. 2026-04-03
    listed $265,000 Active 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

  4. 2026-04-03
    listed $265,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

  5. 2026-04-01
    historical $265,000 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!

  6. 2009-08-19
    soldstatus $110,000
  7. 2009-07-09
    soldstatus $110,000 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.

  8. 2009-06-29
    historical 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.

  9. 2009-04-20
    listed $126,000 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.

  10. 2007-09-14
    soldstatus $80,000
  11. 2007-07-25
    historical
  12. 2007-04-25
    listed $119,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,826 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,954 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$1,127/yr (+$94/mo · 61.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,546
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$1,826
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,444
− Management
−$2,444
− HOA
−$5,772
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$5,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,396
After-tax cash flow
$-72/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Novi Community School District
NCES district ID
2626130
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$90,023
Composite
65.28/100
National rank
#489
State rank
#7 of 540 in MI

Livability — Northville

Score
88/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#205

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Novi, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
24,713
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,713
Household income
$124,630
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
441.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Asian 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.65%
Current HPI
176.171
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $265,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Coming Soon $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2009-07-09 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-06-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-20 Listed $126,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2007-07-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-25 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,826 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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