20807 E Glen Haven Cir · Northville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- $481 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly association fee includes grounds and structure maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water; Association provides grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Built with brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Finished basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Exterior lighting; Community pool; Clubhouse; Sidewalks; Tennis courts; Paved road access; Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (8.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (3.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.8% in Northville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#13 in MI, #205 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
- Novi Community School District (urban): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #7 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Orchard Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #132 of 1,397 statewide, top 11%, 410 students, 24% FRL); Novi High School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A-, #8 of 713 statewide, top 1%, 2,101 students, 11% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $265k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.98%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-48,001
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-40,424
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48167
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,826/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$481
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $-122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-197 | +10% $-272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-323 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-22 | +10% $79 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $11 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-122 | +0.5pp $-191 | +1.0pp $-261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20828 W Glen Haven Cir Northville, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1863 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 41705 Broquet Dr Northville, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $2,750 | $1.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 19741 Cardene Way Northville, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2759 | $4,850 | $1.76 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19741 Cardene Way Unit NA Northville, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2750 | $4,850 | $1.76 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 42480 Corlina Dr Northville, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 416 S Center St Northville, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1997 | $5,000 | $2.50 | 6d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $481 · $5,772/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
-
2026-04-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
-
2026-04-03$265,000 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
-
2026-04-03$265,000 Active
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
-
2026-04-01historical $265,000 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT opportunity to own an end-unit condo just one mile from downtown Northville! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a fully finished basement, offering ample space and versatility. Enjoy the privacy of your own patio and the convenience of a 1-car detached garage. Situated in an award-winning school district, this community offers resort-style amenities, including: pool & clubhouse, basketball courts & pickleball, and a playground. This is the perfect blend of comfort and location - schedule your tour today!
-
2009-08-19soldstatus $110,000
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2009-07-09soldstatus $110,000 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.
-
2009-06-29historical 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.
-
2009-04-20$126,000 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED IN 2008 * GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW HARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT, STAINLESS APPLIANCES, FINISHED BASEMENT (DRYWALL-WALLS & CEILING), NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, NEW LANDSCAPE, NEW FRONT DOOR WITH SIDE LIGHTS, DOORWALL TO PATIO, GARAGE, PRIVATE END UNIT, FIREPLACE WITH NEW MANTLE, CLUB HOUSE & POOL. MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN NORTHVILLE, CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND RESTAURANTS, EASY EXPRESSWAY ACCESS. MUST SEE! * SOME EXCLUSIONS.
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2007-09-14soldstatus $80,000
-
2007-07-25historical
-
2007-04-25$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,826 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,954 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,127/yr (+$94/mo · 61.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,826
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,444
- − Management
- −$2,444
- − HOA
- −$5,772
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$5,818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $-72/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Novi Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2626130
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,023
- Composite
- 65.28/100
- National rank
- #489
- State rank
- #7 of 540 in MI
Livability — Northville
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Novi, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 24,713
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,713
- Household income
- $124,630
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 441.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.65%
- Current HPI
- 176.171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+121.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listed $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $265,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Coming Soon $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-09 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-20 Listed $126,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-25 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,826 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…