932 S Frederick Ave Ave · Oelwein, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity meets potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home priced to sell! The home features a spacious 2-stall garage, perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, along with two additional sheds offering even more space for tools and hobbies. Whether you’re looking for a project or an affordable place to make your own, this property offers solid value and endless possibilities.
Key facts
- Two additional sheds
- 9,834 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($650 rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $52k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.35%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,790
- List price
- $52,500
- Delta
- -34.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 825 1st Ave Ave SW | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-3%) | 2mo | $118,000 | $123 | 79 |
| 115 6th St. St SW | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 | 1,058 (+7%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $75 | 69 |
| 509 3rd Ave Ave SE | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-3%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 326 4 1/2 St. St SW | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 921 (-7%) | 23mo | $53,500 | $58 | 46 |
| 229 5th Ave Ave SE | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,061 (+7%) | 14mo | $83,500 | $79 | 44 |
| 540 SW 8 St | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 860 (-13%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $116 | 43 |
| 529 5th Ave Ave SE | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 864 (-13%) | 11mo | $96,000 | $111 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,139
- Equity at exit
- $7,828
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $13,439
- Equity at exit
- $4,539
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50662
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $780/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$136
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 N Frederick Ave Apt 1 Oelwein, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $650 | $0.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $52,500 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $52,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $52,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Opportunity meets potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home priced to sell! The home features a spacious 2-stall garage, perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, along with two additional sheds offering even more space for tools and hobbies. Whether you’re looking for a project or an affordable place to make your own, this property offers solid value and endless possibilities.
-
2026-05-09status Pending 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Opportunity meets potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home priced to sell! The home features a spacious 2-stall garage, perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, along with two additional sheds offering even more space for tools and hobbies. Whether you’re looking for a project or an affordable place to make your own, this property offers solid value and endless possibilities.
-
2026-04-13$55,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Opportunity meets potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home priced to sell! The home features a spacious 2-stall garage, perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, along with two additional sheds offering even more space for tools and hobbies. Whether you’re looking for a project or an affordable place to make your own, this property offers solid value and endless possibilities.
-
2026-03-30soldstatus $35,000
-
2022-08-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $780 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$22/yr (+$2/mo · 2.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $7,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$780
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$624
- − Management
- −$624
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $1,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$250
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oelwein Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921630
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 42.61/100
- National rank
- #3189
- State rank
- #281 of 289 in IA
Livability — Oelwein
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oelwein, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,497
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,299 people
- By 2030
- 18,701 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,469 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 16,389 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 15,156 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 14,214 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.26%
- Current HPI
- 177.9399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-09 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-13 Listed $55,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $780 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…