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20 SW 3rd St
B Composite 71.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

20 SW 3rd St · Webster, FL 33597
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1992 0.25 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity in Webster!This 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-wide manufactured home features 1,064 sq. ft. of living area with updated interior finishes and is situated on a 0.23-acre corner lot. The property includes an ADA-accessible entrance deck and is connected to city water and sewer. Located outside of a flood zone with no HOA restrictions. Possible owner financing available, making this a flexible investment opportunity. Property is currently leased to an employee. Do not disturb tenants. Showings by appointment only.

Key facts

  • City water and sewer
  • No hoa restrictions
  • Corner lot

Tags

ADA-ACCESSIBLE ENTRANCE DECKCORNER LOTCITY WATER AND SEWEROUTSIDE OF FLOOD ZONENO HOA RESTRICTIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total building area: 1064 square feet (public records); Lot about 0.25 acre (approx. 109 x 101); Listing is a third-party listing; Pets allowed
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA / association

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Residential property; One story; Southwest facing; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home (single wide)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Within city limits; Level lot; Paved; Asphalt road (public maintained)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Split bedroom floor plan; Accessible approach with ramp; Customized wheelchair accessible
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#411 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Webster Elementary School (math 61% / reading 51%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 748 students, 68% FRL); South Sumter High School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #294 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,045 students, 52% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
13.37%
Cash-on-cash
25.27%
DSCR
2.12
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$23,467
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$73,558
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33597

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,696 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $821/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$649

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    price $110,000
  17. 2026-03-12
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$821 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$913 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$92/yr (+$8/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,349
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$821
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,628
− Management
−$1,628
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,527
After-tax cash flow
$6,256/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Webster

Score
70/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#7339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Webster, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,424

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.59%
Current HPI
282.5139
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $821 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…