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91402 Celery Center Rd
C- Composite 54.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

91402 Celery Center Rd · Hamilton, MI 49045
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1930 1.97 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

Key facts

  • Pole barn
  • Country acres
  • Old hay barn

Tags

COUNTRY ACRESOLD HAY BARNPOLE BARNPEACEFUL COUNTRY LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Built in 1930
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Pole barn on property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Partial crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Decatur Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #381 of 540 in MI (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.89%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,482
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$11,167
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49045

Home prices YoY
-25.1%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $838
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $240 -5% $212 +0% $184 +5% $156 +10% $127
Rent -10% $99 -5% $142 +0% $184 +5% $226 +10% $268
Rate -1.0pp $234 -0.5pp $209 base $184 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  4. 2026-06-16
    price $99,900 Active 39 DOM
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    listed $115,000 Active 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $115,000 Active 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  19. 2026-05-07
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Nestled on approximately 2 beautiful country acres, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer willing to bring their vision and tools. The spacious farmhouse features 6 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing plenty of room to create your dream rural retreat. Outdoors, you'll find a nostalgic old hay barn full of character along with a 32x56 pole barn complete with cement floor and electric- ideal for storage, hobbies, livestock, or workshop space. The setting and location are truly the standout features here, offering peaceful country living with room to grow. Home does require TLC and is being sold in its present condition, but opportunities like this are hard to find.

  20. 2007-06-12
    soldstatus $78,330

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,157 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,348 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 16.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,847
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,157
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,028
− Management
−$1,028
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$152
After-tax cash flow
$2,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur Public Schools
NCES district ID
2611670
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,230
Composite
24.48/100
National rank
#7659
State rank
#381 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hamilton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,109

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,479 people
By 2030
68,693 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,093 · -13.1%
By 2050
55,232 · -22.7%
By 2075
40,786 · -42.9%
By 2100
27,785 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.63%
Current HPI
211.3353
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $78,330 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,157 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…