1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd · Montvale, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$224,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away on a peaceful country road, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath farmhouse offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and everyday comfort with main level living and updated vinyl plank flooring. Set on 1.5 scenic acres, the property features breathtaking mountain views, open skies, and plenty of space to enjoy the tranquility of nature. Outside, you'll discover a chicken coop, mature trees, and open land ideal for gardening, small homesteading, or just soaking up the quiet countryside. It's the kind of place where time slows down and simple pleasures shine. Whether you're dreaming of starting your own mini farm, escaping the city, or just finding a peaceful place to call home1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd could be your perfect match.
Key facts
- Main-level living
- Open yard space
- 1.5 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric power; Heat pump cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1947
- Construction: Built in 1947
- Exterior features: Front porch; 1.5-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric) for heating and cooling; Baseboard electric heating
- Interior features: Wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $825 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#225 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bedford Primary (293 students, 100% FRL); Liberty Middle (math 49% / reading 67%, grade B, #174 of 342 statewide, top 51%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 30% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.72%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,776
- List price
- $224,995
- Delta
- -24.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $175,158
- Equity at exit
- $202,693
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.53×
- Total profit
- $474,557
- Equity at exit
- $437,116
Cash invested: $62,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24174
- Home prices YoY
- 24.9%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,013 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$633
- Net cashflow
- $825
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,249
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-19days on market $224,995 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,995 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,995 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,995 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $224,995 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,995 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,995 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,995 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,995 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,995 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $224,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $224,995 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $224,995 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $224,995 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $224,995 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $224,995 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $224,995 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-08$224,995 Active 771-char remark
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2025-06-17soldstatus $204,000
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2025-06-16soldstatus $204,000 Closed 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Tucked away on a peaceful country road, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath farmhouse offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and everyday comfort with main level living and updated vinyl plank flooring. Set on 1.5 scenic acres, the property features breathtaking mountain views, open skies, and plenty of space to enjoy the tranquility of nature. Outside, you'll discover a chicken coop, mature trees, and open land ideal for gardening, small homesteading, or just soaking up the quiet countryside. It's the kind of place where time slows down and simple pleasures shine. Whether you're dreaming of starting your own mini farm, escaping the city, or just finding a peaceful place to call home1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd could be your perfect match.
-
2025-05-17status Pending 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Tucked away on a peaceful country road, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath farmhouse offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and everyday comfort with main level living and updated vinyl plank flooring. Set on 1.5 scenic acres, the property features breathtaking mountain views, open skies, and plenty of space to enjoy the tranquility of nature. Outside, you'll discover a chicken coop, mature trees, and open land ideal for gardening, small homesteading, or just soaking up the quiet countryside. It's the kind of place where time slows down and simple pleasures shine. Whether you're dreaming of starting your own mini farm, escaping the city, or just finding a peaceful place to call home1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd could be your perfect match.
-
2025-05-12price $210,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Tucked away on a peaceful country road, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath farmhouse offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and everyday comfort with main level living and updated vinyl plank flooring. Set on 1.5 scenic acres, the property features breathtaking mountain views, open skies, and plenty of space to enjoy the tranquility of nature. Outside, you'll discover a chicken coop, mature trees, and open land ideal for gardening, small homesteading, or just soaking up the quiet countryside. It's the kind of place where time slows down and simple pleasures shine. Whether you're dreaming of starting your own mini farm, escaping the city, or just finding a peaceful place to call home1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd could be your perfect match.
-
2025-04-24$215,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Tucked away on a peaceful country road, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath farmhouse offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and everyday comfort with main level living and updated vinyl plank flooring. Set on 1.5 scenic acres, the property features breathtaking mountain views, open skies, and plenty of space to enjoy the tranquility of nature. Outside, you'll discover a chicken coop, mature trees, and open land ideal for gardening, small homesteading, or just soaking up the quiet countryside. It's the kind of place where time slows down and simple pleasures shine. Whether you're dreaming of starting your own mini farm, escaping the city, or just finding a peaceful place to call home1384 Thaxton Mountain Rd could be your perfect match.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,893
- − Management
- −$2,893
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $6,724
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,614
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100360
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,288
- Composite
- 54.92/100
- National rank
- #1310
- State rank
- #41 of 131 in VA
Livability — Montvale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #7450
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,335
Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,194 people
- By 2030
- 85,499 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 88,834 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 90,060 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 94,131 · +13.1%
- By 2100
- 89,832 · +8.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% German 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Vietnamese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bedford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 61.56%
- Current HPI
- 308.8944
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+4.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $224,995 MLSRV
- 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $204,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-16 Sold (MLS) $204,000 LMLS
- 2025-05-17 Pending — LMLS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $210,000 LMLS
- 2025-04-24 Listed $215,000 LMLS
Property tax history
+41.4%/yrLatest (2025): $408 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…