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5607 Golden Needle Dr
D+ Composite 45.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0

$237,000

5607 Golden Needle Dr · Greensboro, NC 27301
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 177 Days on market
Built 1988 1.22 ac lot Est $263k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

Key facts

  • 1.22 acre lot
  • Built 1988
  • Listed 177 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions provided for property access
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Pine Ridge subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1988; Existing structure
  • Construction: Wood siding; Crawl space foundation; No fireplaces
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Well water; Publicly maintained road access; Lot of approximately 1.22 acres; No pool; No guest house

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Primary bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Main-level laundry room (5ft 2in x 6ft 0in)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $237k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (18.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (35.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $152k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $237k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,251 (35.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.42%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$262,752
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5749 Yellow Pine Trl 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,240 (-13%) 1mo $228,000 $184 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$113,407
Equity at exit
$213,508
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.21×
Total profit
$346,027
Equity at exit
$460,439

Cash invested: $66,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27301

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,523 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,243
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,269/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$-245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,832
Max offer price $193,801
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,250
Closing costs
$7,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical Due Diligence Period
  3. 2026-04-20
    price $237,000
  4. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  5. 2026-04-01
    historical
  6. 2026-02-03
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-03
    price $240,000
  8. 2026-02-01
    historical
  9. 2025-11-21
    listed $245,000 Active
  10. 2025-11-19
    historical $245,000
  11. 2019-09-27
    soldstatus $140,000 Sold 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

  12. 2019-09-27
    soldstatus $140,000
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

  13. 2019-09-07
    status Pending 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

  14. 2019-08-14
    historical Due Diligence Period 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

  15. 2019-08-02
    listed $140,000 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    You'll love this ranch style home located on a gorgeous 1.2 acre lot. Enjoy the relaxing view from your own personal deck. Home offers an additional sitting area and/or living room. While conveniently located minutes from Hwy 29 and Hwy 150, one can still enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living. You must see this home to appreciate all it has to offer.

  16. 1991-05-01
    soldstatus $63,000
  17. 1988-07-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,269 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,943 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$675/yr (+$56/mo · 53.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,270
− Mortgage interest
−$13,276
− Property taxes
−$1,269
− Insurance
−$1,185
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,462
− Management
−$1,462
− Depreciation
−$6,895
Taxable loss
−$7,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,746
After-tax cash flow
$-1,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
329,421
Population (ZIP)
10,897

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.75%
Current HPI
310.08
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2054.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $237,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Delisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $240,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-01 Delisted Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $245,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-19 Coming Soon $245,000 Triad MLS
  • 2019-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-27 Sold (MLS) $140,000 Triad MLS
  • 2019-09-07 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2019-08-14 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2019-08-02 Listed $140,000 Triad MLS
  • 1991-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1988-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,269 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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