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423 N 6th St
C- Composite 51.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

423 N 6th St · Millville, NJ 08332
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1923 9,570 sqft lot Est $247k · 33% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 423 N 6th Street in Millville—a property full of potential and ready for its next chapter. This home offers a functional layout featuring a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bath on the first floor, with a large third bedroom upstairs. The first floor includes hardwood flooring throughout, and the living area features a wood-burning stove insert fireplace. Additional highlights include newer windows, a partial basement, off-street parking, and a generously sized yard. Recent updates include new sewer line with lifetime warranty, new toilet, new kitchen sink and plumbing, new basement doors and new rear deck. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes, this property offers strong potential in an established neighborhood. Bring your vision and make this home your own.

Key facts

  • 9,570 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1923

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Millville School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #447 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Silver Run Elementary School (math 0% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,235 of 1,303 statewide, top 96%, 427 students, 91% FRL); Lakeside Middle School (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #405 of 431 statewide, top 95%, 987 students, 70% FRL); Millville Senior High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #327 of 399 statewide, top 82%, 1,640 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 60% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.17%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
713 E Broad St E E 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,311 (+6%) 0mo $261,000 $199 77
6 N 10th St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,221 (-2%) 6mo $255,000 $209 74
16 N 5th St N 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,312 (+6%) 5mo $125,000 $95 72
811 N 7th St 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,234 (-0%) 4mo $26,000 $21 68
502 E Main St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-6%) 2mo $129,000 $111 68
19 W Mcneal St W 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-5%) 8mo $235,000 $199 55
700 9th St N N 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,411 (+14%) 5mo $299,900 $213 54
15 N 13th St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,346 (+8%) 7mo $240,000 $178 50
207 S 9th St 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,384 (+12%) 1mo $335,000 $242 48
125 S 10th St S S 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-12%) 5mo $295,000 $271 46
17 W Foundry St W 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,116 (-10%) 7mo $173,999 $156 45
1310 E Main St 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,387 (+12%) 2mo $350,000 $252 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,113
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-20,107
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08332

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,717 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$339 /mo · $4,064/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,611
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $177 -5% $130 +0% $84 +5% $37 +10% $-10
Rent -10% $-52 -5% $16 +0% $84 +5% $151 +10% $219
Rate -1.0pp $167 -0.5pp $126 base $84 +0.5pp $41 +1.0pp $-3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
112 W Main St Unit B Millville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1384 $1,500 $1.08 45d 1 0.71mi
301 N Wade Blvd Millville, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 1005 $1,715 $1.71 15d 10 0.77mi
313 W Main St Millville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1265 $1,650 $1.30 45d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 57 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 55 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $175,000 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 423 N 6th Street in Millville—a property full of potential and ready for its next chapter. This home offers a functional layout featuring a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bath on the first floor, with a large third bedroom upstairs. The first floor includes hardwood flooring throughout, and the living area features a wood-burning stove insert fireplace. Additional highlights include newer windows, a partial basement, off-street parking, and a generously sized yard. Recent updates include new sewer line with lifetime warranty, new toilet, new kitchen sink and plumbing, new basement doors and new rear deck. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes, this property offers strong potential in an established neighborhood. Bring your vision and make this home your own.

  18. 2026-04-06
    listed $180,000 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 423 N 6th Street in Millville—a property full of potential and ready for its next chapter. This home offers a functional layout featuring a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bath on the first floor, with a large third bedroom upstairs. The first floor includes hardwood flooring throughout, and the living area features a wood-burning stove insert fireplace. Additional highlights include newer windows, a partial basement, off-street parking, and a generously sized yard. Recent updates include new sewer line with lifetime warranty, new toilet, new kitchen sink and plumbing, new basement doors and new rear deck. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes, this property offers strong potential in an established neighborhood. Bring your vision and make this home your own.

  19. 2026-03-26
    historical $180,000 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 423 N 6th Street in Millville—a property full of potential and ready for its next chapter. This home offers a functional layout featuring a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bath on the first floor, with a large third bedroom upstairs. The first floor includes hardwood flooring throughout, and the living area features a wood-burning stove insert fireplace. Additional highlights include newer windows, a partial basement, off-street parking, and a generously sized yard. Recent updates include new sewer line with lifetime warranty, new toilet, new kitchen sink and plumbing, new basement doors and new rear deck. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes, this property offers strong potential in an established neighborhood. Bring your vision and make this home your own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,064 · $339/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,086 · $341/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,603
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$4,064
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,648
− Management
−$1,648
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,625
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$390
After-tax cash flow
$1,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millville School District
NCES district ID
3410320
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,851
Composite
15.23/100
National rank
#9338
State rank
#447 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Millville

Score
63/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#15561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millville, NJ
County
Cumberland County · 80,266 people
City population
35,228
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
35,228
Household income
$67,496
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1761.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.45%
Current HPI
274.8011
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Coming Soon $180,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,064 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…