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2905 Yale Dr
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2905 Yale Dr · Granite City, IL 62040
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1965 8,751 sqft lot $44/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 BEDROOM, PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT, FORMAL DINING ROOM, FENCED YARD, ATTACHED GARAGE. ALL BRICK HOME WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE OF PARK AND WALKING PATH! GREAT INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME HOME. CALL TODAY TO SEE All offers must be submitted; see Agent Remarks. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on “Start Offer”. This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If Property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL MLS INFORMATION INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO SQ. FT, TAXES, FLOORING, ROOM SIZE, ROOM COUNT, SCHOOLS, ETC. ..

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Fenced yard
  • All brick home

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTFORMAL DINING ROOMFENCED YARDALL BRICK HOMEWALKING DISTANCE OF PARKWALKING PATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 7.0% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Granite City High School (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #522 of 693 statewide, top 76%, 1,805 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.72%
Cash-on-cash
40.80%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,450
List price
$60,000
Delta
-69.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2909 Grand Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,352 (-0%) 1mo $130,000 $96 80
2900 State St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,422 (+5%) 6mo $135,000 $95 70
2938 Oregon Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-13%) 9mo $162,900 $139 62
2669 Center St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,455 (+7%) 0mo $134,900 $93 62
1530 Johnson Rd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+3%) 0mo $98,000 $70 61
2805 Benton St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,499 (+10%) 8mo $150,000 $100 60
2655 State St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,303 (-4%) 4mo $165,000 $127 57
3029 Iowa St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,475 (+9%) 7mo $49,900 $34 57
1520 Clark Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,456 (+7%) 8mo $125,000 $86 54
2629 Grand Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,304 (-4%) 8mo $117,500 $90 54
3164 Myrtle Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,194 (-12%) 8mo $135,000 $113 48
3225 Carlson Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,520 (+12%) 8mo $169,900 $112 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$25,031
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$62,136
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62040

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,248 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$571

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 7d 1 0.20mi
2715 Center St Unit B Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,275 $1.37 44d 1 0.46mi
2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,400 $1.44 4d 1 0.85mi
2317 Grand Ave Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 1124 $750 $0.67 7d 1 1.18mi
2426 E 24th St Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,095 $0.68 44d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 619-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $60,000 Active 619-char remark
  3. 2010-06-30
    soldstatus $119,500
  4. 2000-04-24
    soldstatus $93,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,976
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,198
− Management
−$1,198
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,273
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,506
After-tax cash flow
$5,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granite City CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1717280
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,082
Composite
9.15/100
National rank
#9864
State rank
#570 of 620 in IL

Livability — Granite City

Score
65/100
State rank
#623
US rank
#12751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Granite City, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
40,404
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,404
Household income
$60,031
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.88%
Current HPI
204.4612
Rent YoY
▲ 1.67%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $119,500 Public Records
  • 2000-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,692 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…