2614 Grand Ave · Granite City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1932
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 6.9% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.73%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,322
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -5.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2653 Grand Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 954 (+2%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $149 | 86 |
| 2900 Iowa St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (0%) | 1mo | $114,900 | $123 | 71 |
| 2311 E 25th St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 896 (-4%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $110 | 69 |
| 2440 Iowa St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,052 (+12%) | 3mo | $59,900 | $57 | 62 |
| 2807 Iowa St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (-9%) | 2mo | $69,500 | $82 | 62 |
| 2535 E 28th St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,013 (+8%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $84 | 60 |
| 2323 Edison Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+12%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $95 | 58 |
| 122 Wilson Park Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-4%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 2968 Oregon Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 951 (+2%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $137 | 56 |
| 2300 Edwards St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,026 (+10%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $97 | 56 |
| 3144 Colgate Pl | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (+6%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $181 | 52 |
| 2471 Center St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 810 (-14%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $99 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $14,749
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $43,972
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62040
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,292 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $484 | +0% $462 | +5% $439 | +10% $416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $359 | -5% $411 | +0% $462 | +5% $513 | +10% $564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $482 | base $462 | +0.5pp $441 | +1.0pp $420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2450 Cleveland Blvd Apt A Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $825 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2556 Center St Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2317 Grand Ave Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $750 | $0.67 | 9d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2715 Center St Unit B Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,275 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $80,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.
-
2026-03-25price $87,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.
-
2026-02-06$95,000 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.
-
2026-02-05historical $95,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.
-
2024-09-13status Pending 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!
-
2024-09-13soldstatus Closed 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!
-
2024-08-30historical Active Under Contract 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!
-
2024-08-25$99,000 Active 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,275 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,546 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$23/mo · 21.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,240
- − Management
- −$1,240
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,089
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Granite City CUSD 9
- NCES district ID
- 1717280
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,082
- Composite
- 9.15/100
- National rank
- #9864
- State rank
- #570 of 620 in IL
Livability — Granite City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #623
- US rank
- #12751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Granite City, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 40,404
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,404
- Household income
- $60,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.88%
- Current HPI
- 204.4612
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-19.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $87,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Coming Soon $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-25 Listed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+32.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,275 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…