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2614 Grand Ave
B- Composite 69.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

2614 Grand Ave · Granite City, IL 62040
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1932 4,800 sqft lot $85/sqft · 5% below area Est $84k · 5% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.

Key facts

  • 4,800 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1932

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 6.9% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.22%
Cash-on-cash
24.73%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,322
List price
$80,000
Delta
-5.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2653 Grand Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 954 (+2%) 1mo $142,000 $149 86
2900 Iowa St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (0%) 1mo $114,900 $123 71
2311 E 25th St 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (-4%) 2mo $99,000 $110 69
2440 Iowa St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,052 (+12%) 3mo $59,900 $57 62
2807 Iowa St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 848 (-9%) 2mo $69,500 $82 62
2535 E 28th St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,013 (+8%) 2mo $85,000 $84 60
2323 Edison Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+12%) 1mo $99,900 $95 58
122 Wilson Park Ln 0.73mi 3/1.0 900 (-4%) 3mo $110,000 $122 57
2968 Oregon Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 951 (+2%) 3mo $129,900 $137 56
2300 Edwards St 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,026 (+10%) 2mo $99,900 $97 56
3144 Colgate Pl 0.73mi 3/1.5 988 (+6%) 4mo $179,000 $181 52
2471 Center St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (-14%) 3mo $80,000 $99 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$14,749
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$43,972
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62040

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,292 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $708
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $484 +0% $462 +5% $439 +10% $416
Rent -10% $359 -5% $411 +0% $462 +5% $513 +10% $564
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $482 base $462 +0.5pp $441 +1.0pp $420

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,400 $1.44 6d 1 0.24mi
2450 Cleveland Blvd Apt A Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 846 $825 $0.98 19d 1 0.32mi
2556 Center St Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 874 $1,500 $1.72 16d 1 0.42mi
2317 Grand Ave Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 1124 $750 $0.67 9d 1 0.43mi
2715 Center St Unit B Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,275 $1.37 45d 1 0.54mi
303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 9d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    price $80,000 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.

  17. 2026-03-25
    price $87,000 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.

  18. 2026-02-06
    listed $95,000 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.

  19. 2026-02-05
    historical $95,000 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    This is a must see home that was nicely done a couple of year ago. Home features 2 good size bedrooms with 1 bathroom. Over sized, detach garage is a great start or down size home. Good curb appeal with the big covered front porch traditional to craftsman style home. Mostly fenced in back yard. Close to everything Granite City has to offer.

  20. 2024-09-13
    status Pending 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!

  21. 2024-09-13
    soldstatus Closed 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!

  22. 2024-08-30
    historical Active Under Contract 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!

  23. 2024-08-25
    listed $99,000 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Wonderful home situated close to Wilson Park! This property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 2-car detached garage, along with an unfinished basement for additional storage. Relax on the spacious covered front porch or the back porch, ideal for your morning coffee. The house features original hardwood floors throughout the living room, separate dining room, and bedrooms. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, countertops, and faucets, along with included appliances. Recent improvements include new plumbing, and the home has passed the city occupancy inspection!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,275 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$23/mo · 21.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,504
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,240
− Management
−$1,240
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,089
After-tax cash flow
$4,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granite City CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1717280
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,082
Composite
9.15/100
National rank
#9864
State rank
#570 of 620 in IL

Livability — Granite City

Score
65/100
State rank
#623
US rank
#12751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Granite City, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
40,404
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,404
Household income
$60,031
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.88%
Current HPI
204.4612
Rent YoY
▲ 1.67%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $87,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Coming Soon $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-13 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-30 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-25 Listed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+32.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,275 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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