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147 Tote Rd
B+ Composite 78.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$43,507

147 Tote Rd · Cuthbert, GA 39840
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1999 0.51 ac lot $40/sqft · 37% below area Est $69k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brick ranch home, 3 bedrooms with 1 full bath and 1 half bath in primary bedroom. Living room, eat in kitchen, den and laundry room. Sold "As Is". IF property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. All offers must be submitted at www. vrmproperties.com by your agent. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on “Start Offer”. This property MAY qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee) see www. vrmproperties.com for more information and property eligibility.

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single story; Corner lot
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Storm doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Electric range
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#251 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Randolph County (town): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #171 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($301 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Randolph County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 91% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,854 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
18.80%
Cash-on-cash
44.66%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,690
List price
$43,507
Delta
-36.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.0%
Equity multiple
3.80×
Total profit
$34,164
Equity at exit
$19,563
10-year hold
IRR
49.7%
Equity multiple
7.67×
Total profit
$81,216
Equity at exit
$30,148

Cash invested: $12,182 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 39840

Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,015 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$228
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,228/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $441
Max offer price $43,507
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $478 -5% $466 +0% $453 +5% $441 +10% $429
Rent -10% $373 -5% $413 +0% $453 +5% $494 +10% $534
Rate -1.0pp $475 -0.5pp $464 base $453 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,877
Closing costs
$1,305
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    listed $43,507 Active 530-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,228 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,228 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 91% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,182
− Mortgage interest
−$2,437
− Property taxes
−$1,228
− Insurance
−$218
− Repairs & maintenance
−$975
− Management
−$975
− Depreciation
−$1,266
Taxable income
$5,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$4,220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Randolph County
NCES district ID
1304350
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,301
Composite
6.47/100
National rank
#9995
State rank
#171 of 174 in GA

Livability — Cuthbert

Score
64/100
State rank
#251
US rank
#14066

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cuthbert, GA
Population (ZIP)
4,576

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,190 people
By 2030
5,711 · -7.7%
By 2040
4,847 · -21.7%
By 2050
4,215 · -31.9%
By 2075
3,564 · -42.4%
By 2100
3,357 · -45.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.6) · D 53.5% · R 45.9%
2008→2024 swing
-6.8pp toward R · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 7.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.6 2020: D+9.2 2016: D+11.3 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending CBOR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $43,507 CBOR

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,228 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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