🏗️ New Construction
Remington Plan · Maineville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$368,495
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This ranch home could be yours today! Part of our Smart Series collection of homes, the Remington offers the finest first-floor living with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $364,995
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Single-family plan (Remington)
- Exterior features: Living area 1,514
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Plan: Remington (new construction)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $368k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (24.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (34.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 3.9% in Maineville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#529 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.54% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.35%
- DSCR
- 0.50
- GRM
- 15.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $450,662
- List price
- $368,495
- Delta
- -18.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1625 Kilbarron Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,666 (+10%) | 3mo | $382,500 | $230 | 70 |
| 7682 Crystal Cove Pointe | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,604 (+6%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $206 | 61 |
| 1675 Mounts Rd | 0.10mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 1,713 (+13%) | 10mo | $394,200 | $230 | 54 |
| 1231 Huntwick Ln | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,510 (-0%) | 23mo | $365,000 | $242 | 54 |
| 1491 Wexler Ct | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,733 (+14%) | 1mo | $497,732 | $287 | 54 |
| 1538 Wexler Ct | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,733 (+14%) | 6mo | $460,000 | $265 | 49 |
| 918 Pine Needle Pl | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,516 (+0%) | 14mo | $319,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 898 Pine Needle Pl | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-8%) | 1mo | $326,000 | $233 | 48 |
| 1550 Wexler Ct | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,686 (+11%) | 15mo | $459,712 | $273 | 47 |
| 1367 Huntwick Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,686 (+11%) | 10mo | $488,440 | $290 | 47 |
| 1040 Wood Duck Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,714 (+13%) | 14mo | $426,000 | $249 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $180,778
- Equity at exit
- $405,992
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $619,559
- Equity at exit
- $875,538
Cash invested: $126,185 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45039
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,432 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$563 /mo · $6,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $-1,193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,666
- Closing costs
- $13,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1624 Rosemore Ln Morrow, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,601 | $1.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7831 Healy Dr Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2084 | $2,671 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 330 Heftner Cir Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1588 | $2,056 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 311 Heftner Cir Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 12d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $368,495 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $368,495 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $368,495 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $368,495 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $368,495 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $368,495 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $368,495 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $364,995 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $364,995 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $364,995 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $364,995 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $364,995 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$364,995 Active 168-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,244
- − Property taxes
- −$6,760
- − Insurance
- −$2,253
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,335
- − Management
- −$2,335
- − Depreciation
- −$13,110
- Taxable loss
- −$22,854
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,834/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Miami Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905044
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,949
- Composite
- 60.5/100
- National rank
- #844
- State rank
- #140 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maineville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #529
- US rank
- #9001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maineville, OH
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,335
- Household income
- $108,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.63%
- Current HPI
- 568.09
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.42%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…