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4 Jessilea
B+ Composite 76.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,900

4 Jessilea · Mayflower, AR 72032
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 174 Days on market
Built 1966 7,405 sqft lot Est $132k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

Key facts

  • Close to lake conway
  • Major rehab
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYMAJOR REHABCLOSE TO LAKE CONWAYCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1,120 square feet; Approximately 0.17 acre lot

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Single-family property; Entry level information not provided
  • Construction: Frame construction; Crawl space foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Frame exterior; Metal roof; Paved road access; Lot in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring (see remarks); Central heating; Central cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.8% in Mayflower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#390 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Conway School District (urban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #36 of 238 in AR (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 865 units permitted in Faulkner County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Faulkner County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.22%
Cash-on-cash
42.61%
DSCR
2.90
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,160
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Speaker St 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,195 (+7%) 17mo $141,500 $118 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$29,437
Equity at exit
$10,124
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$70,881
Equity at exit
$5,871

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72032

Home prices YoY
-17.0%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,399 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $547/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $544
Max offer price $67,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,975
Closing costs
$2,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,900 Active 174 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,900 Active 173 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,900 Active 172 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,900 Active 171 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,900 Active 169 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $67,900 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,900 Active 165 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,900 Active 164 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,900 Active 163 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,900 Active 159 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,900 Active 158 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,900 Active 157 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,900 Active 156 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,900 Active 155 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    price $67,900
  16. 2026-05-19
    status Back on Market
  17. 2026-05-14
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
  18. 2026-04-17
    price $81,500
  19. 2026-03-17
    price $89,000
  20. 2026-02-13
    price $99,500
  21. 2026-01-22
    price $114,900
  22. 2025-12-20
    listed $129,900 New Listing
  23. 2023-01-30
    soldstatus $140,000
  24. 2023-01-26
    status Under Contract 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  25. 2023-01-26
    soldstatus $140,000 Sold 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  26. 2022-12-05
    historical Take Backups 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  27. 2022-12-05
    status Under Contract 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  28. 2022-11-28
    status Back on Market 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  29. 2022-11-26
    status Under Contract 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  30. 2022-11-15
    listed $139,000 New Listing 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    New from floor Joists and throughout, new cabinets, deep sink, granite, paint, bathrooms, flooring too! Lux Vinyl flooring- New electrical panel 2019! Cute garden area in back. Friendly neighbors, 2 decks (one covered). Shed in back with shelter. NOT in flood zone!

  31. 2021-11-12
    soldstatus $25,000 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Sold before listed.

  32. 2021-10-07
    listed $25,000 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Sold before listed.

  33. 2014-07-30
    soldstatus $14,500
  34. 2014-07-10
    historical
  35. 2014-03-13
    listed $15,354
  36. 2004-11-05
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$547 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$547 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,787
− Mortgage interest
−$3,803
− Property taxes
−$547
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,343
− Management
−$1,343
− Depreciation
−$1,975
Taxable income
$7,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,784
After-tax cash flow
$6,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conway School District
NCES district ID
0504590
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
38.27/100
National rank
#4236
State rank
#36 of 238 in AR

Livability — Mayflower

Score
56/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#22893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Faulkner County · 103,634 people
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
34,469
Household income
$64,695
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
916.0

Population outlook (Faulkner County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,985 people
By 2030
148,264 · +6.7%
By 2040
166,010 · +19.4%
By 2050
183,362 · +31.9%
By 2075
224,593 · +61.6%
By 2100
250,603 · +80.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Faulkner

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.3) · D 32.6% · R 64.9% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.3pp · 2024: -32.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.3 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+25.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.15%
Current HPI
234.6331
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $67,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $81,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $89,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $99,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $114,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
  • 2023-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-26 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-11-26 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-11-15 Listed $139,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-10-07 Listed $25,000 CARMLS
  • 2014-07-30 Sold (MLS) $14,500 CARMLS
  • 2014-07-10 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2014-03-13 Listed $15,354 CARMLS
  • 2004-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $547 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…