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2479 Twisted Oak Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 54.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

2479 Twisted Oak Dr · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1978 10,018 sqft lot Est $199k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1978

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $130,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$198,950) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (3.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,300 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
4.00%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,950
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5012 Fox Glen Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 2mo $219,900 $173 69
5016 Fox Glen Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 1mo $219,900 $173 68
5019 Fox Glen Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 3mo $219,900 $173 68
5023 Fox Glen Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 3mo $219,900 $173 67
5551 Will O Run Cir 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,138 (-1%) 6mo $99,900 $88 67
5026 Quail Ridge Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 5mo $217,900 $171 66
5009 Quail Ridge Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 3mo $226,495 $178 66
5013 Quail Ridge Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 6mo $221,855 $174 64
2376 Princess Pine Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,308 (+14%) 2mo $145,000 $111 63
5513 Dogwood Trl 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,219 (+6%) 2mo $130,000 $107 62
444 Greenmont Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+5%) 4mo $124,900 $103 61
4271 Cypress Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+6%) 6mo $107,900 $88 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,749
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,381
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,259 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,106
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,215 $1.12 43d 1 0.22mi
2750 N Siwell Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 13d 1 0.51mi
2107 Thousand Oaks Dr Unit A Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1182 $950 $0.80 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    status $130,000 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  18. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
  20. 2026-03-20
    status Active
  21. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  22. 2026-02-24
    status Pending
  23. 2026-02-24
    historical
  24. 2026-02-12
    status Active
  25. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  26. 2025-11-23
    listed $130,000 Active
  27. 2025-07-18
    listed $1,550
  28. 2025-04-02
    historical $1,550
  29. 2025-02-26
    listed $1,550
  30. 2024-12-09
    soldstatus Closed 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  31. 2024-12-06
    soldstatus
  32. 2024-11-11
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  33. 2024-10-15
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  34. 2024-08-28
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  35. 2024-08-05
    price $64,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  36. 2024-07-26
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  37. 2024-07-14
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  38. 2024-06-28
    price $80,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  39. 2024-06-24
    price $85,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  40. 2024-05-21
    price $90,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  41. 2023-12-14
    listed $100,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Investment Property. Home is sold AS-IS. Home passed HUD Inspection this month. Please do not disturb tenant for a showing appointment. OCCUPANTS ARE ABSOLUTELY NOT TO BE DISTURBED!! **SOLD SIGHT UNSEEN**NO SHOWINGS** NO INTERIOR ACCESS** Property is being sold occupied with all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.: Please do not disturb tenants.

  42. 1993-10-25
    soldstatus
  43. 1991-07-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,650 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,650 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,111
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,209
− Management
−$1,209
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$670
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$161
After-tax cash flow
$1,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+30.0% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-20 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-24 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-01-19 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,550 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-04-02 Rental Removed $1,550 MLSU
  • 2025-02-26 Listed for Rent $1,550 MLSU
  • 2024-12-09 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2024-12-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-11-11 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-10-15 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-08-28 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-08-05 Price Changed $64,000 MLSU
  • 2024-07-26 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-07-14 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2024-06-24 Price Changed $85,000 MLSU
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $90,000 MLSU
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $100,000 MLSU
  • 1993-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,650 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…