22 Quail Dr · Silo, OK 74701

$80,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market

Built 1972 0.58 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.1/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Cozy Lake Community Home – Willow Springs This charming 2-bedroom home is nestled in the friendly lake community of Willow Springs, offering the perfect mix of comfort and outdoor fun. Situated on a large lot, you’ll have space for everyone — including your furry friends! Pet-Friendly Yard – Partially fenced to keep your pets safe and happy Room to Play – Open space for outdoor activities, BBQs, or a cozy fire pit with family and friends Lake Living – Enjoy the nearby water for boating, fishing, and relaxing weekends Whether you’re looking for a weekend getaway or a full-time home, this property delivers that relaxed lake life you&rsqu

Key facts

• Lake living
• Pet-friendly yard
• Conveniently located

Tags

• PET-FRIENDLY YARD
• LAKE LIVING
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#436 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
• Silo (rural): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #64 of 270 in OK (top 24%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bryan County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.50%
• DSCR: 1.60
• GRM: 6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.01×
• Total profit: $117
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $9,294
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 74701

• Home prices YoY: -11.3%
• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 309
• Price-to-rent: 6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,019 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$214
• Net cashflow: $252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-03-05
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-16
   listed $80,000 Active
3. 2026-01-05
   historical
4. 2025-10-19
   price $85,000
5. 2025-08-12
   price $90,000
6. 2025-07-04
   listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,226
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,200
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$978
• − Management: −$978
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $1,861
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$447
• After-tax cash flow: $2,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Silo
• NCES district ID: 4027640
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $46,297
• Composite: 25.4/100
• National rank: #7463
• State rank: #64 of 270 in OK

Livability — Silo

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #436
• US rank: #21224

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bryan County · 27,497 people
• Metro: Durant, OK
• Population (ZIP): 27,497
• Household income: $58,036
• Rent vs Own: 43.3% rent · 56.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 759.0

Population outlook (Bryan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 50,265 people
• By 2030: 52,866 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 58,018 · +15.4%
• By 2050: 63,073 · +25.5%
• By 2075: 74,439 · +48.1%
• By 2100: 81,743 · +62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Native American 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bryan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+58.5) · D 20.0% · R 78.6% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -58.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+58.5 2020: R+56.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+35.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -38.66%
• Current HPI: 303.3877
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.13%
• Metro: Durant, OK
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

-68.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-05 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2026-02-16 Listed $80,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2025-10-19 Price Changed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2025-08-12 Price Changed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2025-07-04 Listed $250,000 MLS Technology, Inc.