911 N 8th St · Frederick, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$10,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Its rough n probably a tear down n start over. Friendly neighbors. Quiet property.
Key facts
- Built 1961
- Listed 27 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#304 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Frederick (town): math 41% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #46 of 270 in OK (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tillman County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $10k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 77.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 255.27%
- DSCR
- 12.36
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $15,930
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 N 13th | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+13%) | 11mo | $18,000 | $18 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.97×
- Total profit
- $36,329
- Equity at exit
- $1,491
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.76×
- Total profit
- $80,536
- Equity at exit
- $865
Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73542
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $842 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $151/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $596
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,500
- Closing costs
- $300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $10,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $10,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $10,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $10,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $10,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $10,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $10,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $10,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $10,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $10,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $10,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $10,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-23$10,000 Active
-
1998-08-24soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $151 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $151 · $13/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$560
- − Property taxes
- −$151
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$808
- − Management
- −$808
- − Depreciation
- −$291
- Taxable income
- $7,431
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,783
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frederick
- NCES district ID
- 4012150
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,495
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6735
- State rank
- #46 of 270 in OK
Livability — Frederick
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #17869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frederick, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,167
Population outlook (Tillman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,949 people
- By 2030
- 6,737 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 6,402 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 6,364 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 7,335 · +5.6%
- By 2100
- 9,166 · +31.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% European 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Tillman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.8pp toward R · 2008: -35.6pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+35.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.32%
- Current HPI
- 159.0458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+66.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $10,000 FSBO.com
- 1998-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+65.2%/yrLatest (2025): $151 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…