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14 Donaldson Rd
B Composite 72.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

14 Donaldson Rd · Buffalo, NY 14208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,814 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1920 3,675 sqft lot Est $241k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A fully remodeled jewel centered in the well sought after Hamlin Park area. Featuring a completely new kitchen with granite counters and a granite roll away center island, a remodeled full bath on first floor and remodeled bath on second floor. Beautiful tile floors in kitchen with tiled walls and back splashes and glass block windows in basement. Come one come all do not miss this quality renovated home it can be yours. (Historical Preservation) (Property assessments square footage is being challenged by the owner, measurements independent from city assessers showes over 2000 sqft. )

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Natural light
  • Open layout concept

Tags

RENOVATED TRADITIONAL HOMEREMODELED KITCHENSUBSTANTIAL FORMAL DINING ROOMOPEN LAYOUT CONCEPTNATURAL LIGHTGORGEOUS CROWN MOLDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; Additional storage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Main thoroughfare frontage; Rectangular lot (approx. 35 x 105)
  • Construction: Cedar and vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Copper plumbing; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Balcony; Covered porch; Fence (partial)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Appliances negotiable
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling; Ductless heating; Gas heating; Radiator heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Living/dining room; Natural woodwork; Main level primary; Programmable thermostat; Has full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,103/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 723% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.25%
Cash-on-cash
14.12%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,262
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
88 Donaldson Rd 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,699 (-6%) 13mo $217,000 $128 70
41 Brunswick Blvd Blvd 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,054 (+13%) 13mo $260,000 $127 61
84 Hedley Pl 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,836 (+1%) 22mo $250,000 $136 61
466 Northland Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,814 (0%) 19mo $200,000 $110 58
196 Hughes Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,808 (-0%) 17mo $240,000 $133 58
109 Hughes Ave 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,687 (-7%) 10mo $175,000 $104 54
164 Harvard Pl 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,700 (-6%) 8mo $344,000 $202 53
188 Waverly St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,541 (-15%) 15mo $264,000 $171 46
15 Blaine Ave 0.35mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,615 (-11%) 19mo $290,000 $180 40
392 Humboldt Pkwy 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,602 (-12%) 10mo $195,000 $122 38
81 Harvard Pl 0.53mi 3/2.5 2,073 (+14%) 19mo $295,000 $142 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$8,532
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$55,743
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14208

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,103 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $601/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 44d 1 0.20mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 14d 1 0.39mi
1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,875 $1.49 44d 1 0.39mi
563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2004 $1,200 $0.60 24d 1 0.41mi
73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2080 $1,300 $0.62 14d 1 0.64mi
121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1265 $1,750 $1.38 44d 1 0.66mi
888 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,440 $2.71 24d 1 1.27mi
740 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 14d 1 1.29mi
569 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 12d 1 1.33mi
202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 24d 1 1.39mi
552 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 2500 $2,200 $0.88 44d 1 1.42mi
451 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1633 $3,305 $2.02 44d 1 1.42mi
79 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2528 $1,250 $0.49 44d 1 1.44mi
19 North St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1306 $2,910 $2.23 10d 7 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 685-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $179,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$601 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,821 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,220/yr (+$102/mo · 202.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,235
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$601
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,019
− Management
−$2,019
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$4,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,053
After-tax cash flow
$6,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,572
Household income
$48,476
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
723.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 15% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Hispanic 0%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.37%
Current HPI
459.2084
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+299.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-02 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-05-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-05-19 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-02-09 Listed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $601 · +44.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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