1903 Oleander Dr · La Marque, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .
Key facts
- Large yard
- Storage shed
- Convenient to dining
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (first floor rooms listed); Built in 1963
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Utility room; Dining room; Living room; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.6% in La Marque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,136 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hayley El (math 7% / reading 11%, grade F, #4,293 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 562 students, 92% FRL); La Marque H S (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,342 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 647 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 66% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Texas City ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 654 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.90%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,752
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -13.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 Briar Ln | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (-4%) | 3mo | $109,500 | $111 | 69 |
| 2114 Lone Star St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+2%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $188 | 68 |
| 2101 Irene St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (+8%) | 12mo | $175,900 | $159 | 65 |
| 2005 Magnolia Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 921 (-11%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 2430 Florence St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-2%) | 10mo | $149,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 2228 Eriksson St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (+13%) | 11mo | $162,200 | $140 | 57 |
| 908 Howell Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,052 (+2%) | 13mo | $149,900 | $142 | 51 |
| 2103 11th Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 983 (-5%) | 9mo | $69,990 | $71 | 48 |
| 1102 Linden St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (-5%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $117 | 47 |
| 1503 Main St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,182 (+15%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $190 | 45 |
| 1414 Sycamore St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $98 | 40 |
| 1114 Main St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,171 (+14%) | 1mo | $88,000 | $75 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-14,679
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,075
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77568
- Home prices YoY
- -22.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 654
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$277 /mo · $3,326/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $164 | -5% $126 | +0% $88 | +5% $50 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $28 | +0% $88 | +5% $148 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $122 | base $88 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1825 Bayou Rd La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2729 Main St La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 2d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 1013 Margot St La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1006 E Camp Cir La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2328 Boss St La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $925 | $1.09 | 13d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 306 Lake Rd Unit B La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $995 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 711 Avenue A Unit 4 La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $799 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 203 Beatrice St La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 509 Bluebonnet Dr La Marque, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1223 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 222 Ruslee St La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 105 Plum St La Marque, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 309 S Bell Dr Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricestatusdays on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$140,000 Active 970-char remark
-
2024-05-10soldstatus
-
2024-05-09soldstatus Sold 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .
-
2024-05-04status Pending 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .
-
2024-04-25status Option Pending 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .
-
2024-04-15$165,000 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .
-
2023-10-13soldstatus
-
2017-12-11soldstatus
-
2016-05-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,326 · $277/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,326 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,326
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,030
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$247
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texas City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,875
- Composite
- 24.47/100
- National rank
- #7664
- State rank
- #655 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Marque
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1136
- US rank
- #20037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Marque, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 23,083
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,083
- Household income
- $74,694
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 700.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 26% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.39%
- Current HPI
- 236.0239
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-18.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
- 2024-05-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-05-09 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2024-05-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-04-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-04-15 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,326 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…