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1903 Oleander Dr
C Composite 56.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1903 Oleander Dr · La Marque, TX 77568
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,031 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1963 6,625 sqft lot $131/sqft · 13% below area Est $156k · 13% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Storage shed
  • Convenient to dining

Tags

LARGE YARDSTORAGE SHEDQUIET ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT TO HIGHWAYSCONVENIENT TO SHOPPINGCONVENIENT TO DINING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (first floor rooms listed); Built in 1963
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Utility room; Dining room; Living room; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.6% in La Marque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,136 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hayley El (math 7% / reading 11%, grade F, #4,293 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 562 students, 92% FRL); La Marque H S (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,342 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 647 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 66% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Texas City ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 654 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,752
List price
$135,000
Delta
-13.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2109 Briar Ln 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-4%) 3mo $109,500 $111 69
2114 Lone Star St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+2%) 12mo $199,000 $188 68
2101 Irene St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,108 (+8%) 12mo $175,900 $159 65
2005 Magnolia Dr 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 921 (-11%) 1mo $153,000 $166 62
2430 Florence St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-2%) 10mo $149,000 $147 60
2228 Eriksson St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,161 (+13%) 11mo $162,200 $140 57
908 Howell Ave 0.60mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,052 (+2%) 13mo $149,900 $142 51
2103 11th Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 983 (-5%) 9mo $69,990 $71 48
1102 Linden St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 982 (-5%) 10mo $115,000 $117 47
1503 Main St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,182 (+15%) 8mo $225,000 $190 45
1414 Sycamore St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+9%) 10mo $110,000 $98 40
1114 Main St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,171 (+14%) 1mo $88,000 $75 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-14,679
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,075
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77568

Home prices YoY
-22.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
654
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$277 /mo · $3,326/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,402
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $164 -5% $126 +0% $88 +5% $50 +10% $12
Rent -10% $-32 -5% $28 +0% $88 +5% $148 +10% $208
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $122 base $88 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1825 Bayou Rd La Marque, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 44d 1 0.15mi
2729 Main St La Marque, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 864 $950 $1.10 2d 3 0.82mi
1013 Margot St La Marque, TX 3.0 2.0 1099 $1,500 $1.36 19d 1 0.85mi
1006 E Camp Cir La Marque, TX 3.0 1.0 1230 $1,500 $1.22 25d 1 1.00mi
2328 Boss St La Marque, TX 2.0 1.0 848 $925 $1.09 13d 2 1.03mi
306 Lake Rd Unit B La Marque, TX 2.0 1.0 816 $995 $1.22 44d 1 1.14mi
711 Avenue A Unit 4 La Marque, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $799 $1.07 44d 1 1.16mi
203 Beatrice St La Marque, TX 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,395 $1.07 25d 1 1.26mi
509 Bluebonnet Dr La Marque, TX 4.0 1.0 1223 $1,550 $1.27 44d 1 1.29mi
222 Ruslee St La Marque, TX 3.0 1.0 849 $1,350 $1.59 17d 1 1.37mi
105 Plum St La Marque, TX 4.0 1.5 1329 $2,100 $1.58 4d 1 1.42mi
309 S Bell Dr Texas City, TX 2.0 2.0 1316 $1,650 $1.25 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricestatusdays on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Pending 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Pending 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-04-27
    listed $140,000 Active 970-char remark
  15. 2024-05-10
    soldstatus
  16. 2024-05-09
    soldstatus Sold 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .

  17. 2024-05-04
    status Pending 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .

  18. 2024-04-25
    status Option Pending 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .

  19. 2024-04-15
    listed $165,000 Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Welcome to this fully renovated traditional styled home located at 1903 Oleander. Enjoy the open concept living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living. The A/C unit and water heater were both replaced in 2023, ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Step outside to the spacious yard, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying a peaceful evening. Don't miss out on this charming property with so much to offer. Contact us for more information .

  20. 2023-10-13
    soldstatus
  21. 2017-12-11
    soldstatus
  22. 2016-05-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,326 · $277/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,326 · $277/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,164
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$3,326
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$247
After-tax cash flow
$1,303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texas City ISD
NCES district ID
4842510
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,875
Composite
24.47/100
National rank
#7664
State rank
#655 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Marque

Score
59/100
State rank
#1136
US rank
#20037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Marque, TX
County
Galveston County · 357,330 people
City population
23,083
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,083
Household income
$74,694
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
700.0

Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
390,640 people
By 2030
425,226 · +8.9%
By 2040
493,765 · +26.4%
By 2050
559,698 · +43.3%
By 2075
719,260 · +84.1%
By 2100
819,628 · +109.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 26% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Galveston

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.39%
Current HPI
236.0239
Rent YoY
▲ 3.95%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $135,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-05-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-05-09 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2024-05-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-04-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-04-15 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-05-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,326 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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