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14606 Myrtle Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 84.04
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$69,900

14606 Myrtle Ave · Harvey, IL 60426
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1955 3,500 sqft lot Est $112k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cash-Flowing Harvey Rental - Tenant in Place, 12-Month Home Warranty + Owner Financing Available. Turnkey 2-bed/1-bath investment property delivering income from day one. Current tenant paying $1,200/month on a lease through June 2026 - your debt service is covered before keys change hands, with a short runway to reset rent to market or retain a paying tenant. Owner financing available to qualified investors - bypass conventional underwriting, preserve cash for other deals, close fast. Seller is also including a 12-month home warranty at closing for added peace of mind on mechanicals. Substantial capital improvements completed within the last 24 months including new roof, new windows, new v

Key facts

  • Modernized plumbing
  • New vinyl siding
  • New roof

Tags

SUBSTANTIALLY UPDATEDNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEW VINYL SIDINGMODERNIZED PLUMBINGMODERNIZED ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$112,320) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $70k implies a 774% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
14.25%
Cash-on-cash
28.42%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$112,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14630 Loomis Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 936 (+8%) 10mo $127,000 $136 74
14727 Wood St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 900 (+4%) 6mo $60,000 $67 60
14817 Lexington Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 946 (+10%) 5mo $110,000 $116 60
14911 Page Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 923 (+7%) 2mo $110,000 $119 56
14827 Marshfield Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 923 (+7%) 10mo $120,000 $130 56
15125 Marshfield Ave S 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+4%) 3mo $127,500 $142 53
14921 Lincoln Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+4%) 6mo $149,900 $167 52
15112 Vine Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 7mo $43,000 $47 50
102 E 150th St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 750 (-13%) 0mo $95,000 $127 47
34 W 142nd St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+11%) 9mo $175,000 $182 44
14508 Des Plaines St 0.70mi 3/3.0 (+1) 904 (+5%) 8mo $59,000 $65 40
14103 Marshfield Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+11%) 8mo $177,000 $184 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$67,714
Equity at exit
$62,971
10-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
10.01×
Total profit
$176,431
Equity at exit
$135,800

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,006/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $818
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $503 -5% $483 +0% $464 +5% $444 +10% $424
Rent -10% $353 -5% $408 +0% $464 +5% $519 +10% $575
Rate -1.0pp $499 -0.5pp $481 base $464 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $427

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL 3.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 0.77mi
455 W 144th St Unit 2W Riverdale, IL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,250 $1.67 0d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $69,900 Active
  17. 2024-10-20
    historical
  18. 2024-09-27
    price
  19. 2024-09-23
    price
  20. 2024-09-20
    price
  21. 2024-09-07
    price
  22. 2024-08-23
    price
  23. 2024-08-15
    price
  24. 2024-08-04
    listed Active
  25. 2023-11-13
    historical
  26. 2023-10-16
    listed Active
  27. 2023-06-21
    historical
  28. 2018-10-26
    soldstatus $8,001 Closed Sale
  29. 2018-09-11
    status Pending
  30. 2018-09-06
    listed $7,000 New
  31. 1985-03-07
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,006 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,006 · $251/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,857
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$3,006
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$4,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,165
After-tax cash flow
$4,397/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Harvey

Score
67/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#11162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, IL
City population
23,066
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-27 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-20 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-15 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-04 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-16 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-21 Rental Removed MRED
  • 2018-10-26 Sold (MLS) $8,001 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-11 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-06 Listed $7,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,006 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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