CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2568 Susan Ann Dr
D+ Composite 47.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

2568 Susan Ann Dr · Elida, OH 45804
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,810 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1967 0.36 ac lot Est $241k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2568 Susan Ann Dr. This is a 4 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home. It offers comfort and plenty of space. The large 4 bedrooms gives you so much space! Also has a large garage and large backyard. Bathroom remodel was completed in 2024. Call today to make your appointment! This is a great investment property!

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1967

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-607/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (5.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (17.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Elida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in OH, #4,816 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $175k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $143,957 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,730
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2568 Susan Ann Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,810 (0%) 0mo $150,000 $83 93
4901 Lobo St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,814 (+0%) 3mo $300,000 $165 70
4864 Pheasant St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,702 (-6%) 2mo $255,000 $150 63
4956 Pheasant St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,886 (+4%) 2mo $226,000 $120 63
4917 Pheasant St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,750 (-3%) 6mo $223,000 $127 62
2848 Hummingbird St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,716 (-5%) 2mo $205,000 $119 61
4910 Amaryllis St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,746 (-4%) 3mo $290,500 $166 61
2743 Hummingbird St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,704 (-6%) 8mo $275,000 $161 57
5031 Daisy Ln 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,672 (-8%) 4mo $214,500 $128 54
5126 Pheasant St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,950 (+8%) 3mo $260,000 $133 48
4901 Hummingbird St 0.50mi 3/2.0 2,051 (+13%) 6mo $237,000 $116 47
4862 Willow St 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,556 (-14%) 2mo $225,000 $145 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-31,569
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-31,602
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45804

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,366/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$-51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,504
Max offer price $166,068
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-1 +0% $-51 +5% $-100 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-164 -5% $-107 +0% $-51 +5% $6 +10% $63
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $-6 base $-51 +0.5pp $-96 +1.0pp $-142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-01-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-05
    price $175,000
  3. 2025-12-29
    price $195,000
  4. 2025-12-01
    listed $219,000 Active
  5. 2025-11-21
    historical $219,000
  6. 1994-08-19
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,366 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,548 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$182/yr (+$15/mo · 7.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,275
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,366
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$3,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$870
After-tax cash flow
$263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elida Local
NCES district ID
3904577
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
49.93/100
National rank
#1934
State rank
#311 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elida

Score
74/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#4816

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen · 98,169 people
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,197
Household income
$42,594
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
8.1

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.39%
Current HPI
126.4189
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-10 Pending WCARE
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $175,000 WCARE
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $195,000 WCARE
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $219,000 WCARE
  • 2025-11-21 Coming Soon $219,000 WCARE
  • 1994-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,366 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…