2568 Susan Ann Dr · Elida, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 2568 Susan Ann Dr. This is a 4 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home. It offers comfort and plenty of space. The large 4 bedrooms gives you so much space! Also has a large garage and large backyard. Bathroom remodel was completed in 2024. Call today to make your appointment! This is a great investment property!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1967
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-607/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (5.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Elida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in OH, #4,816 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $175k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.24%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,730
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2568 Susan Ann Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,810 (0%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $83 | 93 |
| 4901 Lobo St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,814 (+0%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 4864 Pheasant St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (-6%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $150 | 63 |
| 4956 Pheasant St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,886 (+4%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 4917 Pheasant St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (-3%) | 6mo | $223,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 2848 Hummingbird St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (-5%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $119 | 61 |
| 4910 Amaryllis St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (-4%) | 3mo | $290,500 | $166 | 61 |
| 2743 Hummingbird St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,704 (-6%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $161 | 57 |
| 5031 Daisy Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,672 (-8%) | 4mo | $214,500 | $128 | 54 |
| 5126 Pheasant St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,950 (+8%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 4901 Hummingbird St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 2,051 (+13%) | 6mo | $237,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 4862 Willow St | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,556 (-14%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $145 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-31,569
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-31,602
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45804
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $-51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $-1 | +0% $-51 | +5% $-100 | +10% $-150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-51 | +5% $6 | +10% $63 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $-6 | base $-51 | +0.5pp $-96 | +1.0pp $-142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-01-10status Pending
-
2026-01-05price $175,000
-
2025-12-29price $195,000
-
2025-12-01$219,000 Active
-
2025-11-21historical $219,000
-
1994-08-19soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,366 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$182/yr (+$15/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,366
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$3,624
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elida Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904577
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 49.93/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #311 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elida
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #4816
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen · 98,169 people
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,197
- Household income
- $42,594
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.1
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.39%
- Current HPI
- 126.4189
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+124.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-10 Pending — WCARE
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $175,000 WCARE
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $195,000 WCARE
- 2025-12-01 Listed $219,000 WCARE
- 2025-11-21 Coming Soon $219,000 WCARE
- 1994-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,366 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…