209 Concord Dr · Laplace, LA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WATERPROOF LAMINATE VINYL FLOORING, LARGE BACKYARD
Key facts
- Large backyard
- 6,006 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Built on slab foundation
- Exterior features: City lot with rectangular shape; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 100 feet
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Property reported in very good condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.8% in Laplace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#61 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. John The Baptist Parish (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #68 of 98 in LA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in St. John the Baptist Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. John the Baptist County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.02%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,664
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Linwood Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,107 (+12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $158 | 66 |
| 348 Elmwood Dr | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,085 (+10%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 769 Madewood Dr | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 907 (-8%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $99 | 54 |
| 302 Magnolia Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,077 (+10%) | 5mo | $166,000 | $154 | 49 |
| 109 Harry St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (+14%) | 12mo | $142,000 | $126 | 36 |
| 332 Magnolia Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,041 (+6%) | 22mo | $152,500 | $146 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,075
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $27,751
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70068
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,680 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$155,000 Active
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
WATERPROOF LAMINATE VINYL FLOORING, LARGE BACKYARD
-
2026-05-20$155,000 Active 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
WATERPROOF LAMINATE VINYL FLOORING, LARGE BACKYARD
-
2022-05-02soldstatus $159,900 Closed 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
Newly renovated starter house in the Carrollwood subdivision could be your home! Conveniently located & in close proximity to area schools, shopping, restaurants and the Interstate. Features new roof, waterproof laminate vinyl flooring, X flood zone, large backyard & Soft paint color to go with all decors. Mirrors in the bathrooms and a few little punch list items are getting completed. Home warranty will be included for the new buyer. Call for an appointment. This one won’t last long.
-
2022-03-24status Pending 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
Newly renovated starter house in the Carrollwood subdivision could be your home! Conveniently located & in close proximity to area schools, shopping, restaurants and the Interstate. Features new roof, waterproof laminate vinyl flooring, X flood zone, large backyard & Soft paint color to go with all decors. Mirrors in the bathrooms and a few little punch list items are getting completed. Home warranty will be included for the new buyer. Call for an appointment. This one won’t last long.
-
2022-03-21$159,900 Active 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
Newly renovated starter house in the Carrollwood subdivision could be your home! Conveniently located & in close proximity to area schools, shopping, restaurants and the Interstate. Features new roof, waterproof laminate vinyl flooring, X flood zone, large backyard & Soft paint color to go with all decors. Mirrors in the bathrooms and a few little punch list items are getting completed. Home warranty will be included for the new buyer. Call for an appointment. This one won’t last long.
-
2022-03-21$159,900
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
Newly renovated starter house in the Carrollwood subdivision could be your home! Conveniently located & in close proximity to area schools, shopping, restaurants and the Interstate. Features new roof, waterproof laminate vinyl flooring, X flood zone, large backyard & Soft paint color to go with all decors. Mirrors in the bathrooms and a few little punch list items are getting completed. Home warranty will be included for the new buyer. Call for an appointment. This one won’t last long.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,046
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,613
- − Management
- −$1,613
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $1,919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$461
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. John The Baptist Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201530
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -39.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,280
- Composite
- 17.07/100
- National rank
- #9120
- State rank
- #68 of 98 in LA
Livability — Laplace
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #7898
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laplace, LA
- County
- Saint John the Baptist Parish · 32,720 people
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,720
- Household income
- $68,459
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 750.0
Population outlook (St. John the Baptist County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,972 people
- By 2030
- 39,295 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 35,902 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 32,988 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 28,661 · -30.0%
- By 2100
- 26,456 · -35.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. John the Baptist
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.1) · D 64.0% · R 34.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.9pp toward D · 2008: 16.2pp · 2024: 29.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.1 2020: D+28.2 2016: D+24.5 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+16.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.04%
- Current HPI
- 239.1429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $155,000 GSREIN
- 2022-05-02 Sold (MLS) $159,900 GSREIN
- 2022-03-24 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-03-21 Listed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-03-21 Listed $159,900 GSREIN
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,046 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…