28 E Hill St · Liberty, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully renovated home with a view! This 3 bedroom home sits on a large double lot in downtown Liberty Pa. First floor bedroom, new flooring and tongue and groove throughout the home. Large dining room with pellet stove for an additional heat source to keep your family nice and cozy all year round. Easy access to US Route 15 to go south to Williamsport, or north to Mansfield, Wellsboro or Elmira. Call or text to schedule your showing today before this one is gone!
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- Built 1901
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No paved driveway (gravel parking)
- Utilities: Private well water; 200+ amp electrical service
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Frame, stone, and vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built prior to or in public records (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s); Level to sloped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range
- Flooring: Linoleum; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Central vacuum; Pellet stove fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.2% in Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#659 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Southern Tioga SD (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($816 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.48%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,988
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5037 Blockhouse Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+14%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $109 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $25,583
- Equity at exit
- $53,037
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $75,246
- Equity at exit
- $81,719
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16930
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,029/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-05-04$118,000 Active
-
2020-08-31soldstatus $122,500
-
2020-08-24soldstatus $122,500 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Beautifully renovated home with a view! This 3 bedroom home sits on a large double lot in downtown Liberty Pa. First floor bedroom, new flooring and tongue and groove throughout the home. Large dining room with pellet stove for an additional heat source to keep your family nice and cozy all year round. Easy access to US Route 15 to go south to Williamsport, or north to Mansfield, Wellsboro or Elmira. Call or text to schedule your showing today before this one is gone!
-
2020-06-03$119,777 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Beautifully renovated home with a view! This 3 bedroom home sits on a large double lot in downtown Liberty Pa. First floor bedroom, new flooring and tongue and groove throughout the home. Large dining room with pellet stove for an additional heat source to keep your family nice and cozy all year round. Easy access to US Route 15 to go south to Williamsport, or north to Mansfield, Wellsboro or Elmira. Call or text to schedule your showing today before this one is gone!
-
2012-04-19soldstatus $106,000
-
2012-04-18soldstatus $106,000 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Nice home on a extra large intown double lot. Home features living room with fireplace. Located just off from Route 15 South. Call for details. Square footage & lot size taken from assessment records.
-
2012-01-26$109,900 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Nice home on a extra large intown double lot. Home features living room with fireplace. Located just off from Route 15 South. Call for details. Square footage & lot size taken from assessment records.
-
2011-04-01soldstatus $94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,029 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,029 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,422
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$2,029
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $294
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Tioga SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,260
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6451
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Liberty
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #659
- US rank
- #6444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty, PA
- City population
- 6,139
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,202
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,253 people
- By 2030
- 38,795 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 35,376 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,081 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 24,341 · -39.5%
- By 2100
- 17,180 · -57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.00%
- Current HPI
- 248.8152
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+24.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — WBVAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $118,000 WBVAR
- 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) $122,500 NMPA
- 2020-06-03 Listed $119,777 NMPA
- 2012-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-18 Sold (MLS) $106,000 NMPA
- 2012-01-26 Listed $109,900 NMPA
- 2011-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,029 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…