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321 W North Ave #177
C- Composite 54.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

321 W North Ave #177 · Lompoc, CA 93436
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market
Built 2009 1,529 sqft lot $533/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newer Family park mobile home for sale !!!, built in 2009 this 756 square foot 1 bedroom 1 bath mobile features a large living and dining area.The master bedroom is large and spacious with a walk in closet and the master bathroom features a walk shower and tub. and shed will stay without warranty.There is also a very spacious carport!!! Del Norte Mobile Home Estates offers on-site management during the day, a pool, club house and is walking distance to convenience stores and elementary schools. Hurry this home will not last!

Key facts

  • Sling glass door
  • Laminate flooring
  • Linen closet

Tags

PAINTED INSIDE AND OUTLAMINATE FLOORINGGENEROUS WINDOWSSLING GLASS DOORSTACKABLE UNITSLINEN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association with monthly fee of $533; Association covers property management and common area maintenance; Community amenities include pool and clubhouse; Pets allowed with restrictions; Land lease $533

Exterior

  • Parking: No street parking (other parking); Carport parking available (per directions)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured unit); Model: Golden Pacific; Make: CMH MFG WEST; Approx. length 54 ft, width 34 ft
  • Construction: Axles foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Tool shed

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Lompoc — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#786 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lompoc Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #818 of 1,400 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: La Canada Elementary (592 students, 78% FRL); Lompoc Valley Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Lompoc High (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #332 of 1,170 statewide, top 30%, 1,690 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.46%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,630
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$9,834
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93436

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,089 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $511/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$533
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,839
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $285 -5% $241 +0% $197 +5% $153 +10% $110
Rent -10% $32 -5% $115 +0% $197 +5% $280 +10% $362
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $237 base $197 +0.5pp $157 +1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
404 W Barton Ave Unit 2 Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.5 878 $2,200 $2.51 45d 1 0.21mi
401 W Pine Ave Lompoc, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $1,905 $2.59 15d 1 0.22mi
804 W Nectarine Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 45d 1 0.40mi
423 N N St Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 45d 1 0.65mi
321 N L St Unit C Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 25d 1 0.74mi
812 W Laurel Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,170 $2.71 15d 2 0.78mi
324 W Chestnut Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 2.5 940 $2,600 $2.77 25d 1 0.83mi
925 W Chestnut Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 699 $2,070 $2.96 15d 3 0.85mi
960 W Chestnut Ave Unit 946-D Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,050 $2.56 25d 1 0.90mi
218 N C St Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,875 $1.97 25d 1 1.10mi
2220 Briar Creek Way Unit 2-107 Lompoc, CA 1.0 1.0 655 $2,200 $3.36 45d 1 1.20mi
604 N 4th St Unit N604B Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,300 $2.88 45d 1 1.20mi
1113 W Cypress Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.5 953 $2,500 $2.62 15d 1 1.24mi
214 S F St #2 Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.5 946 $2,500 $2.64 25d 1 1.27mi
505 N Sixth St Unit A Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 600 $2,000 $3.33 15d 1 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$533 · $6,396/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 608-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $170,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$511 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$667/yr (+$56/mo · 130.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,068
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$511
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,005
− Management
−$2,005
− HOA
−$6,396
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$44
After-tax cash flow
$2,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lompoc Unified
NCES district ID
0622410
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$53,716
Composite
34.49/100
National rank
#10135
State rank
#818 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Lompoc

Score
56/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#22552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lompoc, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
55,820
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,820
Household income
$80,097
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
1845.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 34% Two or more races 25% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -574.83%
Current HPI
310.2366
Rent YoY
▲ 3.31%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $170,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) $105,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-07-22 Pending NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-06-21 Listed $110,000 NSBCRMLS

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $511 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…