529 Ridgeline Rd · Love Valley, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into a rare opportunity for those looking to restore, rebuild, or create something entirely new. Situated on a beautiful piece of land with a private rural setting, this existing 1900 farmhouse holds the charm and character of a bygone era but will require significant renovation or possible replacement depending on the buyer’s vision. The home has not had power since 2016, and water/spring lines to the property have been cut. Portions of the home are in disrepair, including rotted flooring in the front room, and entry/use of certain areas may be limited. The second floor was not accessed by the listing agent due to safety concerns. Buyer and/or buyer’s agent to verify secon
Key facts
- 2.26 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site-built residential structure; Built in 1900
- Construction: Wood siding; Existing structure
- Exterior features: 2.26-acre lot; Private water source; Publicly maintained road access; One fireplace located in the living room
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($858 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#689 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
- Wilkes County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Wilkes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wilkes County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.23%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $53,356
- Equity at exit
- $67,566
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.01×
- Total profit
- $147,260
- Equity at exit
- $145,709
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28689
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $858 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $678/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-08$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $678 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,293
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$678
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$823
- − Management
- −$823
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $1,210
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704950
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,538
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3017
- State rank
- #59 of 178 in NC
Livability — Love Valley
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #689
- US rank
- #24846
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,525
Population outlook (Wilkes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,349 people
- By 2030
- 64,411 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 59,800 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 54,770 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 45,211 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 36,956 · -44.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Iranian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 14% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilkes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -59.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.6 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.01%
- Current HPI
- 238.4426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $75,000 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $678 · +26.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…