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818 N Country Club Dr
C+ Composite 63.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,000

818 N Country Club Dr · Crystal River, FL 34429
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,877 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1973 0.34 ac lot Est $261k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEVER FLOODED golf course home with incredible potential in the highly desirable Plantation Golf & Country Club area of Crystal River. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits directly on the Plantation Golf Course with beautiful open views, no HOA, and over 2,800 square feet of living space. If you have been looking for an opportunity to update a home and build equity in a prime location, this home deserves a look. The layout offers multiple living areas, generous room sizes, and a wood-burning fireplace with plenty of space for family, guests, or multigenerational living. The home offers an opportunity for updates and is priced accordingly, giving buyers the chance to renovate to t

Key facts

  • No hoa restrictions
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

OPEN GOLF COURSE VIEWSNO HOA RESTRICTIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in Paradise Country Club

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level / single-story
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Located on a golf course; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Dryer; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $274k).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.1% in Crystal River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#603 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crystal River Primary School (math 45% / reading 55%, grade D+, #1,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 51%, 654 students, 70% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $274k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $249,340 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.10%
Cash-on-cash
13.61%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,903
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
914 N Country Club Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (-8%) 2mo $307,500 $178 72
870 N Country Club Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,096 (+12%) 2mo $290,000 $138 67
549 N Afterglow Cir 0.26mi 4/2.0 2,026 (+8%) 16mo $150,000 $74 57
9140 W Harbor Isle Ct 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,799 (-4%) 3mo $535,000 $297 56
9341 W Turnberry Loop 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,957 (+4%) 13mo $273,000 $139 52
1109 N Overland Ter 0.58mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,887 (+0%) 18mo $150,000 $79 52
1131 N Trudel Pt 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,920 (+2%) 20mo $205,000 $107 50
1622 SE 2nd Ct 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,840 (-2%) 18mo $401,100 $218 44
522 SE Paradise Point Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,045 (+9%) 3mo $235,000 $115 43
300 SE Paradise Point Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (-14%) 17mo $235,000 $145 22
310 SE Paradise Point Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (-14%) 22mo $340,000 $211 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-15,840
Equity at exit
$40,854
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$23,824
Equity at exit
$23,691

Cash invested: $76,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34429

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,437
Tax from tax record
$324 /mo · $3,888/yr
Insurance
$114
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$730
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,913
Max offer price $274,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $599 -5% $521 +0% $444 +5% $366 +10% $289
Rent -10% $169 -5% $306 +0% $444 +5% $581 +10% $718
Rate -1.0pp $582 -0.5pp $513 base $444 +0.5pp $373 +1.0pp $300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,500
Closing costs
$8,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
540 N Afterglow Cir Crystal River, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,950 $1.97 21d 1 0.28mi
1542 SE Pinwheel Dr Crystal River, FL 3.0 2.0 2279 $4,500 $1.97 21d 1 0.58mi
1004 SE 5th Ave Crystal River, FL 3.0 2.5 2114 $3,500 $1.66 21d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $274,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    price $274,000
  16. 2026-03-10
    listed $279,000 Active
  17. 2026-02-15
    price $279,000
  18. 2025-12-29
    price $299,900
  19. 2025-09-22
    price $339,900
  20. 2025-08-29
    price $350,000
  21. 2025-07-23
    price $369,900
  22. 2025-07-14
    price $374,900
  23. 2025-07-11
    price $394,900
  24. 2025-07-03
    price $395,900
  25. 2025-06-28
    price $396,900
  26. 2025-06-17
    price $397,900
  27. 2025-06-11
    price $398,900
  28. 2017-11-27
    soldstatus $170,000
  29. 2017-11-20
    soldstatus $170,000
  30. 2017-07-17
    listed $175,000
  31. 2010-12-27
    soldstatus $123,000
  32. 2010-12-17
    soldstatus $123,000
  33. 2010-06-15
    listed $123,000
  34. 2007-11-18
    historical
  35. 2007-08-21
    listed $325,000
  36. 1983-10-01
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,888 · $324/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,888 · $324/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,700
− Mortgage interest
−$15,348
− Property taxes
−$3,888
− Insurance
−$6,488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,336
− Management
−$3,336
− Depreciation
−$7,971
Taxable income
$1,332
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$320
After-tax cash flow
$5,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crystal River

Score
66/100
State rank
#603
US rank
#11564

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
10,163
Population (ZIP)
9,494

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.92%
Current HPI
271.3171
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $274,000 RACC
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $279,000 RACC
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $279,000 RACC
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $299,900 RACC
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $339,900 RACC
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $350,000 RACC
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $369,900 RACC
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $374,900 RACC
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $394,900 RACC
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $395,900 RACC
  • 2025-06-28 Price Changed $396,900 RACC
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $397,900 RACC
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $398,900 RACC
  • 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) $170,000 RACC
  • 2017-07-17 Listed $175,000 RACC
  • 2010-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-17 Sold (MLS) $123,000 RACC
  • 2010-06-15 Listed $123,000 RACC
  • 2007-11-18 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-21 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1983-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,888 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…