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5234 Louisiana Ave Duplex
D+ Composite 49.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

5234 Louisiana Ave · St. Louis, MO 63111
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1915 3,358 sqft lot Est $136k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful, updated property available in Dutchtown! This would make a great owner occupied or awesome rental! The 2nd floor unit has been completely updated with new LVP throughout, fresh paint, new bathroom including new shower surround, facets, vanity, and toilet. Kitchen has been updated with brand new stainless appliances, countertop, new sink and facet, new backsplash. The 1st floor unit has some updates including new bathroom shower surround. This duplex has a brand new roof! The plumbing is updated with PVC.  Has updated sewer line with PVC. The water heaters are newer, put in 2020. Has one newer furnace put in 2018. Also has two newer A/c’s put in 2018. This property has been very well maintained. 2nd floor is vacant ready for owner or tenant move in! 1st floor has tenant that has been there since 2016, always paid on time. 2nd floor available for viewing. 1st floor available for viewing with accepted contract.

Key facts

  • Updated property
  • Fresh paint
  • New bathroom

Tags

UPDATED PROPERTYNEW LVPFRESH PAINTNEW BATHROOMNEW SHOWER SURROUNDNEW STAINLESS APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 2,128 (assessor); Lot size about 0.0771 acres

Exterior

  • Utilities: Single-phase electric
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units); Total of 2 units
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Neighborhood: Carondelet

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central Air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $214/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woodward Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 239 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,914/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.50%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,192
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5044 Louisiana Ave 0.10mi 4/2.0 2,196 (+3%) 8mo $179,000 $82 83
5042 Louisiana Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 2,196 (+3%) 8mo $179,000 $82 83
507 Eiler St 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-5%) 4mo $129,900 $64 74
329 Eichelberger St 0.46mi 4/— 2,190 (+3%) 8mo $13,000 $6 67
3237 Delor St 0.37mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,294 (+8%) 6mo $185,000 $81 59
3225 Delor St 0.40mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,294 (+8%) 6mo $229,900 $100 58
3647 Bowen St 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,250 (+6%) 14mo $69,000 $31 52
4676 S Grand Blvd 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,400 (+13%) 13mo $99,900 $42 50
4536 S Compton 0.59mi 4/2.0 2,304 (+8%) 12mo $184,900 $80 48
3652 Marceline Ter 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,422 (+14%) 13mo $150,000 $62 45
3662 Marceline Ter 0.46mi 4/2.0 2,416 (+14%) 14mo $93,600 $39 44
4443 Minnesota Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,236 (+5%) 12mo $139,000 $62 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-568
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$36,633
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63111

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
15.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,914 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,371
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $528 -5% $478 +0% $429 +5% $379 +10% $330
Rent -10% $278 -5% $353 +0% $429 +5% $504 +10% $580
Rate -1.0pp $517 -0.5pp $473 base $429 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $337

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,914

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4450 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 0d 1 0.80mi
4222 S 38th St Unit 4222 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1836 $1,400 $0.76 21d 1 0.91mi
3637 Meramec St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1632 $1,925 $1.18 18d 1 0.91mi
4222 S 38th St St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1836 $1,400 $0.76 0d 1 0.91mi
6730 Vermont Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,600 $1.04 16d 1 0.95mi
6800 Virginia Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 19d 1 0.97mi
4145 S Compton Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1656 $1,520 $0.92 45d 1 0.99mi
4135 S Compton Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 2104 $1,600 $0.76 45d 1 1.00mi
4312 Oregon Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 2032 $2,000 $0.98 0d 1 1.03mi
3857 Boulevard Heights Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1697 $2,250 $1.33 3d 1 1.29mi
3146 Keokuk St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1528 $1,500 $0.98 25d 1 1.31mi
3131 Keokuk St #3131 Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 16d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 644-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,110 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$587/yr (+$49/mo · 52.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,968
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$579
After-tax cash flow
$4,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,851
Household income
$47,039
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
1364.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 41% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, India
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.80%
Current HPI
169.4644
Rent YoY
▲ 3.27%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+830.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-27 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-24 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
  • 2001-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $18,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,110 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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