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1726 Winchester St
C- Composite 50.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1726 Winchester St · Jackson, MS 39211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,455 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1959 0.31 ac lot Est $212k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Conveniently Located Gem! 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Heart of 39211

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with direct access; 2 carport spaces; Paved parking
  • Security: Dead bolt locks; French doors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone available; Fiber to the house; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Brick and cedar construction; Aluminum roof; Conventional foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard with chain link fencing; Few trees; Landscaped; Uncovered courtyard; Awning(s); Rain gutters

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Gas cooktop; Stainless steel appliances
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Natural gas heating; Wood heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Pantry; Awning(s); Rain gutters; Uncovered courtyard
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($746/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spann Elementary School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #289 of 375 statewide, top 78%, 395 students, 100% FRL); Chastain Middle School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #165 of 179 statewide, top 93%, 499 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,036 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.48%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,430
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1662 Winchester St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+4%) 5mo $174,500 $115 82
1634 Wilhurst St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,548 (+6%) 8mo $168,000 $109 71
1621 Lockwood Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+1%) 2mo $215,000 $146 71
5119 Mccoy Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-5%) 4mo $210,000 $152 62
159 Pimlico Pl 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-6%) 1mo $199,000 $146 58
4624 Katherine Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,552 (+7%) 0mo $245,000 $158 54
205 Pimlico Pl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,640 (+13%) 1mo $163,350 $100 45
4272 Forest Park Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,341 (-8%) 13mo $208,000 $155 45
1838 Parkridge Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,331 (-8%) 9mo $169,900 $128 44
4631 Old Canton Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,614 (+11%) 7mo $198,500 $123 42
4245 Berlin Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,605 (+10%) 12mo $239,000 $149 41
4327 Manhasset Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,599 (+10%) 10mo $175,000 $109 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-16,457
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$30,415
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,680 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,963/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,602
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $164 -5% $113 +0% $62 +5% $11 +10% $-40
Rent -10% $-71 -5% $-4 +0% $62 +5% $129 +10% $195
Rate -1.0pp $153 -0.5pp $108 base $62 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $-32

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1093 $1,279 $1.17 46d 1 0.35mi
212 Pimlico Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $900 $0.56 15d 1 0.68mi
4263 Forest Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1318 $1,949 $1.48 45d 1 0.69mi
5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,850 $1.25 45d 1 0.85mi
5155 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,500 $1.66 25d 1 0.92mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 15d 31 1.13mi
4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,150 $1.43 15d 1 1.16mi
120 Parkway Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $2,255 $2.10 15d 15 1.37mi
5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,465 $0.90 45d 1 1.40mi
5544 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,831 $1.02 45d 1 1.45mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    remarks 57-char remark
  18. 2026-05-30
    listed $179,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,963 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,963 · $247/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,164
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,963
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,613
− Management
−$1,613
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$2,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$536
After-tax cash flow
$1,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
145.5192
Rent YoY
▲ 7.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $179,900 MLSU
  • 1989-01-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1982-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,963 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…