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107 S Page Ave
F Composite 32.46
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

107 S Page Ave · Endicott, NY 13760
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nicely updated 2 family in convenient location with Municipal Electric. First floor has beautiful great room with hardwood floors and skylights. Kitchen with lots of cabinets and island with Jenn Aire cooktop. Appliances remain. Large pantry. Living room, bedroom and full bath. Walk out from great room to trex deck and beautiful yard with pavers, koi pond with fountain, screened porch and detached garage. Lower level has a Family room and lots of storage. GFHA heat plus Municipal Electric. HWH approx 5 years. Upstairs apartment access from front porch. Liv rm, bed rm, kitchen and full bath. Central Air. Separate entrances, separate utilities except water. Water paid by owner. Taxes are list

Key facts

  • Large pantry
  • Great room
  • Skylights

Tags

GREAT ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSSKYLIGHTSKITCHEN WITH ISLANDLARGE PANTRYTREX DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Finished lower level
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Screened porch; On waterfront (pond); Shed(s); Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Skylights; Insulated windows; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-294 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (28.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ann G Mcguinness Elementar School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 317 students, 47% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $180k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,901 (28.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.01%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,696
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 N Page Ave 0.32mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,656 (+2%) 7mo $90,000 $54 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-41,663
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-32,628
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13760

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$402 /mo · $4,822/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$-294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,798
Max offer price $127,901
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-193 -5% $-243 +0% $-294 +5% $-345 +10% $-396
Rent -10% $-407 -5% $-351 +0% $-294 +5% $-238 +10% $-182
Rate -1.0pp $-204 -0.5pp $-249 base $-294 +0.5pp $-341 +1.0pp $-388

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Jane Lacey Dr Endicott, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,035 $1.15 23d 1 0.82mi
209 Vivian Ln Vestal, NY 2.0 1.5 1442 $2,400 $1.66 23d 1 1.19mi
53 Washington Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 23d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-24
    listed $179,900 Active
  5. 2017-04-06
    soldstatus $119,568

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,822 · $402/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,822 · $402/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,102
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,822
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,368
− Management
−$1,368
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$6,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,600
After-tax cash flow
$-1,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union-Endicott Central School District
NCES district ID
3610710
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$49,265
Composite
42.66/100
National rank
#3176
State rank
#387 of 590 in NY

Livability — Endicott

Score
70/100
State rank
#438
US rank
#7657

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Endicott, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
42,896
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,896
Household income
$66,095
Rent vs Own
35.0% rent · 65.0% own
Severe rent burden
1480.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.29%
Current HPI
270.2661
Rent YoY
▲ 7.09%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Listed $179,900 GBAOR
  • 2017-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $119,568 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,822 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…