107 S Page Ave · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nicely updated 2 family in convenient location with Municipal Electric. First floor has beautiful great room with hardwood floors and skylights. Kitchen with lots of cabinets and island with Jenn Aire cooktop. Appliances remain. Large pantry. Living room, bedroom and full bath. Walk out from great room to trex deck and beautiful yard with pavers, koi pond with fountain, screened porch and detached garage. Lower level has a Family room and lots of storage. GFHA heat plus Municipal Electric. HWH approx 5 years. Upstairs apartment access from front porch. Liv rm, bed rm, kitchen and full bath. Central Air. Separate entrances, separate utilities except water. Water paid by owner. Taxes are list
Key facts
- Large pantry
- Great room
- Skylights
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Finished lower level
- Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Screened porch; On waterfront (pond); Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Skylights; Insulated windows; Basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-294 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (28.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ann G Mcguinness Elementar School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 317 students, 47% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $180k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.01%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,696
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 N Page Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,656 (+2%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $54 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-41,663
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-32,628
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$402 /mo · $4,822/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $-294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-193 | -5% $-243 | +0% $-294 | +5% $-345 | +10% $-396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-407 | -5% $-351 | +0% $-294 | +5% $-238 | +10% $-182 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-204 | -0.5pp $-249 | base $-294 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-388 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jane Lacey Dr Endicott, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,035 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 209 Vivian Ln Vestal, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1442 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 53 Washington Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-24$179,900 Active
-
2017-04-06soldstatus $119,568
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,822 · $402/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,822 · $402/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$4,822
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$6,667
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,600
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Endicott, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+50.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $179,900 GBAOR
- 2017-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $119,568 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,822 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…