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3907 E 9th St
B Composite 73.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.1/10.0

$100,000

3907 E 9th St · Kansas City, MO 64127
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,361 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1905 4,356 sqft lot Est $114k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property Offered "As Is" For Information On Bidding Procedures, Earnest Money And Other Policies, Contact Www. Firstpreston. Com Universal Key

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,416/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 1943% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.14%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,324
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
815 Elmwood Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,302 (-4%) 5mo $74,900 $58 68
402 Kensington Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+1%) 3mo $75,000 $55 66
428 Spruce Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+3%) 12mo $160,000 $114 64
3830 Roberts St 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-3%) 6mo $70,000 $53 64
3608 Lexington Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,365 (+0%) 7mo $189,000 $138 64
3621 Lexington St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,395 (+2%) 6mo $165,000 $118 61
653 Elmwood Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,312 (-4%) 12mo $89,000 $68 61
410 Kensington Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (-9%) 4mo $159,000 $128 48
3430 E 6th St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,558 (+14%) 3mo $75,000 $48 47
3521 Lexington Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,552 (+14%) 2mo $140,000 $90 46
3618 Anderson Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,219 (-10%) 8mo $99,000 $81 44
4024 Morrell St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,156 (-15%) 9mo $97,000 $84 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$12,313
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$39,767
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64127

Home prices YoY
-2.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $717/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$493

Break-even live

Break-even rent $792
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $550 -5% $522 +0% $493 +5% $465 +10% $437
Rent -10% $381 -5% $437 +0% $493 +5% $549 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $519 base $493 +0.5pp $467 +1.0pp $441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3435 E 7th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 970 $949 $0.98 8d 1 0.31mi
815 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1302 $1,600 $1.23 15d 1 0.38mi
901 Benton Blvd Unit 7 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,202 $1.09 44d 1 0.48mi
3510 Garner Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,400 $0.91 3d 1 0.54mi
1233 Benton Blvd Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.59mi
916 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1399 $1,650 $1.18 17d 1 0.60mi
2834 E 10th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5 1020 $1,250 $1.23 44d 1 0.69mi
2826 E 10th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5 1020 $1,250 $1.23 44d 1 0.70mi
1603 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,031 $0.97 13d 1 0.75mi
3429 Morrell Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.5 1800 $1,650 $0.92 8d 1 0.76mi
504 Bellefontaine Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,300 $0.87 44d 1 0.77mi
3523 Saint John Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $995 $0.66 24d 1 0.78mi
1805 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1250 $1,250 $1.00 44d 1 0.85mi
311 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,200 $1.62 44d 1 0.87mi
1812 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1650 $1,600 $0.97 17d 1 0.91mi
412 Montgall Ave Unit 412 Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 0.94mi
203 N Indiana Ave Unit 209 Indiana Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 44d 1 0.94mi
218 N Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1184 $1,500 $1.27 44d 1 0.94mi
1905 Kensington Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,325 $1.03 24d 1 0.96mi
3921 Norledge Ave Unit 2E Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 44d 1 0.96mi
4405 Norledge Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1510 $1,600 $1.06 44d 1 0.99mi
3305 E 19th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 0.99mi
414 Prospect Ave Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 8d 1 1.01mi
3201 E 20th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 24d 1 1.13mi
5213 Wilburn Ct Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,375 $1.08 22d 1 1.20mi
135 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 920 $1,500 $1.63 8d 1 1.24mi
2900 E 21st St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 897 $1,650 $1.84 17d 1 1.27mi
220 Brooklyn Ave Unit 220-2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 20d 1 1.30mi
220 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 8d 1 1.30mi
612 Garfield Ave Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,875 $2.08 2d 44 1.30mi
129 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1225 $1,195 $0.98 11d 1 1.31mi
6011 E 11th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 17d 1 1.32mi
105 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,250 $1.09 4d 1 1.35mi
347 Maple Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1246 $1,350 $1.08 24d 1 1.35mi
2003 Wabash Ave Unit B Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 24d 1 1.37mi
303 White Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1060 $950 $0.90 11d 1 1.39mi
441 N Hardesty Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1511 $1,550 $1.03 24d 1 1.40mi
2419 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,500 $1.34 3d 1 1.42mi
2424 Norton Ave Unit B Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 982 $1,150 $1.17 17d 1 1.43mi
2413 College Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1022 $1,225 $1.20 24d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 401-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $100,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  9. 2026-02-06
    price $100,000
  10. 2026-01-10
    listed $110,000 Active
  11. 2001-01-08
    soldstatus 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Property Offered "As Is" For Information On Bidding Procedures, Earnest Money And Other Policies, Contact Www. Firstpreston. Com Universal Key

  12. 2000-10-12
    listed $17,000 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Property Offered "As Is" For Information On Bidding Procedures, Earnest Money And Other Policies, Contact Www. Firstpreston. Com Universal Key

  13. 1994-05-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$717 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$253/yr (+$21/mo · 35.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,997
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$717
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,360
− Management
−$1,360
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$4,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
17,668
Household income
$33,111
Rent vs Own
54.5% rent · 45.5% own
Severe rent burden
1943.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 13% White 12% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.88%
Current HPI
289.2468
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+488.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-01-08 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-12 Listed $17,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-05-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $717 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…