Multi-family
4602 Bronx Blvd · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$768,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Welcome to The Bronx. Local attractions in area include NY Botanical Garden, Bronx Zoo, and Yankee Stadium. This three-unit building shows it was built in 1989. The Building is on a lot of 2,350 sq. ft. and includes a built-in garage. If you blink it will be SOLD. AS-IS SALE property. The Buyer's due diligence needs to be conducted prior to bidding, as the high bidder will receive an AS-IS only contract.
Key facts
- 2,350 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1989
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car parking (garage included)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Triplex property; Total building area about 3,900 sq. ft. (appraiser reported)
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units (triplex multi-unit configuration)
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Other heating systems
- Interior features: Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $768k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $768k).
- Recommended offer: $745k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,963/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 805% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $215k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($745k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $348k; list at $768k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.86%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,173,900
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 E 242nd St | 0.41mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 3,360 (-14%) | 7mo | $1,225,000 | $365 | 43 |
| 288 AKA 286 Kimball Ave | 0.64mi | 6/4.0 | 3,800 (-3%) | 22mo | $1,500,000 | $395 | 43 |
| 46 S 12th Ave | 0.63mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 3,500 (-10%) | 8mo | $1,055,000 | $301 | 38 |
| 147 Hart Ave | 0.48mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,400 (-13%) | 24mo | $880,000 | $259 | 32 |
| 337 East 237th St | 0.67mi | 6/2.0 | 3,432 (-12%) | 22mo | $950,000 | $277 | 27 |
| 121 S 10th Ave | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,504 (-10%) | 21mo | $875,000 | $250 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-428
- Equity at exit
- $114,586
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $159,500
- Equity at exit
- $66,446
Cash invested: $215,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10470
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 21.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,963 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,030
- Tax from tax record
- −$782 /mo · $9,388/yr
- Insurance
- −$320
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,882
- Net cashflow
- $1,948
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $8,964 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,988 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,988 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,988 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,963 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $192,125
- Closing costs
- $23,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $768,500 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $768,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $768,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $768,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $768,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $768,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $768,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$768,500 Active
-
1990-01-09soldstatus $347,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,388 · $782/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,188 · $932/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,800/yr (+$150/mo · 19.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $107,556
- − Mortgage interest
- −$43,048
- − Property taxes
- −$9,388
- − Insurance
- −$3,842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,604
- − Management
- −$8,604
- − Depreciation
- −$22,356
- Taxable income
- $11,712
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,811
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,004
- Household income
- $90,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 805.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.64%
- Current HPI
- 286.9195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+121.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $768,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $347,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $9,388 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…