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D Composite 42.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,900

None · Prichard, AL 36613
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Other · 10 Days on market
0.45 ac lot $17/sqft · 81% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special priced to sell! This manufactured home sits on a spacious lot with large, cleared front and back yards, offering plenty of potential for improvement or redevelopment. The property is in need of repairs, with one bathroom currently not operational and no existing heating or cooling system in place. Per seller, the home was used as a rental property for over 20 years, making it a great opportunity for investors looking to renovate, flip, or add to their rental portfolio. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Cleared front yard
  • Cleared back yard
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTCLEARED FRONT YARDCLEARED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Windmill Woods

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No electric utility listed; No general utilities listed; Not a land lease property
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built with block foundation; Metal roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features; No fencing; No pool or spa; Property has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features; No fireplace; Other flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Other utilities

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $26k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
  • Cap rate 46.6% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Springs Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 368 students, 75% FRL); Mary G Montgomery High School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #211 of 305 statewide, top 69%, 1,965 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $179 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $777 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $25,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.00%
Cap rate
46.60%
Cash-on-cash
143.96%
DSCR
7.41
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,552
List price
$25,900
Delta
-80.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.06×
Total profit
$51,216
Equity at exit
$3,862
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.99×
Total profit
$115,960
Equity at exit
$2,239

Cash invested: $7,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36613

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$136
Tax from tax record
$6 /mo · $78/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$870

Break-even live

Break-even rent $194
Max offer price $25,900
Occupancy floor 28%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,475
Closing costs
$777
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5420 Dogwood Trl Eight Mile, AL 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,295 $1.17 13d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 502-char remark
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $25,900 Active 502-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$78 · $6/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$106 · $9/mo
Expected delta
+$29/yr (+$2/mo · 36.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,540
− Mortgage interest
−$1,451
− Property taxes
−$78
− Insurance
−$130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,243
− Management
−$1,243
− Depreciation
−$753
Taxable income
$10,642
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,554
After-tax cash flow
$7,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

Score
54/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
13,402
Population (ZIP)
12,082

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (52%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.49%
Current HPI
208.8677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-06-03 Delisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-05-09 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $25,900 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $78 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…