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1567 West St
A- Composite 82.54
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

1567 West St · Utica, NY 13501
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 412 Days on market
Built 1880 4,356 sqft lot $119/sqft · 11% below area Est $152k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1880
  • Listed 412 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 412 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $135k implies a 1250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 412 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.32%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,685
List price
$135,000
Delta
-11.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1553 Neilson St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,110 (-2%) 3mo $62,500 $56 84
407 Pleasant St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,148 (+1%) 9mo $190,000 $166 72
1637 Taylor Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,102 (-3%) 8mo $130,000 $118 68
1650 Saint Agnes Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+6%) 8mo $179,900 $150 58
1630 Dudley Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+7%) 22mo $78,000 $64 55
630 Rosemont Pl 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-1%) 18mo $185,000 $164 53
1620 Clementian St 0.59mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (-4%) 12mo $164,697 $151 52
1653 Taylor Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+15%) 10mo $137,000 $105 48
1657 Saint Jane Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,267 (+12%) 5mo $189,900 $150 47
19 Genesee Ct #19 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+11%) 4mo $75,000 $60 43
5 Walker St 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,231 (+9%) 20mo $138,000 $112 40
606 Steele Pl 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+8%) 22mo $175,000 $143 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.9%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$110,248
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
8.82×
Total profit
$295,682
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13501

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,781 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $783/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,125 $1.12 43d 1 0.67mi
1124 Dudley Ave Unit 1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 43d 1 0.69mi
239 Genesee St Utica, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1200 $2,700 $2.25 43d 15 0.96mi
221 Elizabeth St #2 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 1.10mi
119 Hotel St Utica, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1053 $2,300 $2.18 43d 14 1.33mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 412 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 411 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 410 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 409 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 408 DOM
  6. 2026-04-16
    price $135,000 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

  7. 2025-08-12
    price $145,000 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

  8. 2025-05-11
    price $149,900 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

  9. 2025-04-17
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

  10. 2025-04-17
    listed $170,000 Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Nice mostly updated East Utica bungalow , featuring 3 bedrooms 1 and half bath. freshly painted, with nice size backyard.

  11. 2025-01-15
    historical
  12. 2024-09-06
    status Pending
  13. 2024-08-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2024-07-17
    listed $140,000 Active
  15. 2010-05-27
    historical
  16. 2010-02-16
    listed $19,900
  17. 2010-02-16
    historical
  18. 2010-02-16
    listed $19,900
  19. 2003-09-16
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$783 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$749/yr (+$62/mo · 95.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,366
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$783
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,709
− Management
−$1,709
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$5,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,200
After-tax cash flow
$5,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,931
Household income
$52,548
Rent vs Own
49.2% rent · 50.8% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.28%
Current HPI
382.3726
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1250.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $135,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $145,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-05-11 Price Changed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-04-17 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2025-04-17 Listed $170,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-01-15 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-09-06 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-08-21 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2024-07-17 Listed $140,000 CNYIS
  • 2010-05-27 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2010-02-16 Listed $19,900 CNYIS
  • 2010-02-16 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2010-02-16 Listed $19,900 CNYIS
  • 2003-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $783 · -47.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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