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1522 N Drury Ave
C Composite 57.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

1522 N Drury Ave · Springfield, MO 65802
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1919 0.31 ac lot $119/sqft · 13% below area Est $149k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1919
  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: 1,092 above-grade finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Lot in the Homeland subdivision; 0.31-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: 1 full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,646 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.70%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,136
List price
$130,000
Delta
-12.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1936 N Golden Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-3%) 3mo $169,500 $161 68
1208 N Fulbright Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (+2%) 0mo $56,500 $51 68
1120 N Colgate Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,119 (+2%) 2mo $210,000 $188 67
1205 N Drury Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+6%) 3mo $185,000 $159 63
1330 N Fulbright Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-8%) 1mo $115,000 $114 62
1258 N Colgate Ave 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,166 (+7%) 3mo $164,900 $141 59
3215 W Bergman St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,167 (+7%) 1mo $199,900 $171 59
1347 N Brown Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (+7%) 4mo $162,000 $138 56
928 N Glenn Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (+6%) 2mo $155,000 $134 51
1020 N Ethyl Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 989 (-9%) 2mo $179,900 $182 49
1113 N Clifton Ave 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 972 (-11%) 2mo $165,000 $170 43
939 N Brown Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,190 (+9%) 1mo $159,900 $134 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-7,861
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$16,690
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
513
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $532/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $988
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $246 -5% $210 +0% $173 +5% $136 +10% $99
Rent -10% $78 -5% $125 +0% $173 +5% $221 +10% $268
Rate -1.0pp $238 -0.5pp $206 base $173 +0.5pp $139 +1.0pp $105

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,295 $1.28 22d 1 0.19mi
3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,350 $1.27 45d 1 0.26mi
922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 45d 1 0.64mi
2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 756 $695 $0.92 15d 1 0.85mi
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 45d 1 0.92mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 0.94mi
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 45d 1 1.28mi
250 N Hilton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1153 $628 $0.54 15d 1 1.31mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 15d 1 1.31mi
2602 W College St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1350 $995 $0.74 15d 1 1.37mi
2601 N Cresthaven Ave Springfield, MO 4.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,627 $1.61 15d 16 1.38mi
2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 945 $995 $1.05 22d 1 1.40mi
3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $850 $0.87 22d 1 1.41mi
3002 W Elm St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,295 $1.15 22d 1 1.47mi
1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $865 $0.98 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $130,000 Active 26-char remark
  16. 2018-10-04
    soldstatus
  17. 2018-10-04
    soldstatus
  18. 2018-10-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$532 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,261 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$729/yr (+$61/mo · 137.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,478
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$532
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$85
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$20
After-tax cash flow
$2,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $130,000 SOMO
  • 2018-10-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-10-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-10-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $532 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…