21 N 29th Ave W · Duluth, MN 55806

$189,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · Other public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1902 2,614 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.5/30.0
• DSCR +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.8/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the Lincoln Park area. This home has been extensively renovated with a new roof, updated kitchen and bathroom, new flooring and carpet, fresh paint, and new appliances. A great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in ready home at an approachable price point. Crawl space foundation with some natural floor variation typical of homes of this style.

Key facts

• New flooring
• New appliances
• Updated kitchen

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• NEW ROOF
• NEW FLOORING
• NEW APPLIANCES
• CRAWL SPACE FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: Superior St to 29th Ave W
• Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $1,870
• HOA & community: Not specified

Exterior

• Parking: No on-site parking
• Security: Not specified
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family detached residential home; Two stories
• Construction: Not specified
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 35 x 75 (0.06 acre)

Interior

• Kitchen: Not specified
• Bedrooms: Not specified
• Flooring: Not specified
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
• Interior features: Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Not specified

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
• Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,052/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 506% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.75%
• DSCR: 1.39
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.89×
• Total profit: $-6,108
• Equity at exit: $28,315

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $26,393
• Equity at exit: $16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55806

• Active inventory: 44
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,052 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$431
• Net cashflow: $388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,562

Max offer price $189,900

Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $495	-5% $441	+0% $388	+5% $334	+10% $280
Rent	-10% $225	-5% $306	+0% $388	+5% $469	+10% $550
Rate	-1.0pp $483	-0.5pp $436	base $388	+0.5pp $338	+1.0pp $288

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,475
• Closing costs: $5,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN	3.0	1.5	1072	$3,500	$3.26	44d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-17
   status Pending 388-char remark
2. 2026-05-05
   listed $189,900 Active 388-char remark
3. 2013-03-28
   soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,904 · $159/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,015 · $168/mo
• Expected delta: +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 5.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,625
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,637
• − Property taxes: −$1,904
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,970
• − Management: −$1,970
• − Depreciation: −$5,524
• Taxable income: $1,670
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$401
• After-tax cash flow: $4,249/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duluth Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2711040
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $45,692
• Composite: 41.92/100
• National rank: #3360
• State rank: #132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #36
• US rank: #1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Duluth, MN
• County: Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
• City population: 71,097
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 9,356
• Household income: $42,833
• Rent vs Own: 57.9% rent · 42.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 506.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 202,411 people
• By 2030: 203,234 · +0.4%
• By 2040: 202,520 · +0.1%
• By 2050: 200,853 · -0.8%
• By 2075: 200,943 · -0.7%
• By 2100: 192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Scottish 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -122.85%
• Current HPI: 195.9805
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+231.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $189,000 LSAR
• 2026-05-17 Pending — LSAR
• 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 LSAR
• 2013-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,904 · -19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.