Fourplex
2624 Parade St · Erie, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity to add a solid income-producer to your portfolio. This well-maintained 4-unit property offers a stable tenant base and consistent cash flow from day one, making it an ideal choice for both seasoned investors and those looking to house-hack. Highly desirable property features include dedicated off-street parking and a rare, four-car off-street garage—offering excellent convenience for tenants and potential for additional rental income. All appliances are included. Four updated hot water tanks and four newer boilers. While currently generating steady returns, rents are below market rate, presenting the next owner with a clear, built-in path to optimize cash flow an
Key facts
- Newer boilers
- Off-street parking
- 5,001 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total building size not displayed in interior/exterior sections
- Financial info: Unit rents reported: $420, $520, $520, $500
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Total of 8 parking spaces with 4 garage spaces
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Zoned R-2
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units (each unit listed with bedroom counts)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Residential income property configured as a multi-family
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility equipment details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $542/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 5.1% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Erie City SD (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $135k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.90%
- DSCR
- 4.07
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $116,392
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.41×
- Total profit
- $279,722
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16504
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,058 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$852
- Net cashflow
- $2,169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,245 | -5% $2,207 | +0% $2,169 | +5% $2,131 | +10% $2,092 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,848 | -5% $2,008 | +0% $2,169 | +5% $2,329 | +10% $2,489 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,237 | -0.5pp $2,203 | base $2,169 | +0.5pp $2,134 | +1.0pp $2,098 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 4 | 4 | $4,056 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $1,014 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $1,014 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $1,014 |
| #4 | 4 | 4 | $1,014 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,058 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-13status $134,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$134,900 Active
-
2002-07-02soldstatus $77,000
-
1996-10-25soldstatus $67,000
-
1993-07-01soldstatus $66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,282 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,282 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$3,282
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,896
- − Management
- −$3,896
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $25,468
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Erie City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209300
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,625
- Composite
- 12.59/100
- National rank
- #9617
- State rank
- #510 of 539 in PA
Livability — Erie
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Erie, PA
- City population
- 92,215
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,632
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Subsaharan African 2% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.54%
- Current HPI
- 260.1053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+104.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $134,900 GEBOR
- 2002-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $3,282 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…