410 Kenmore St · Corning, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single family home 50 x 156 sq. ft.
Key facts
- Built 1970
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($848 rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.0% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Corning School District (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #123 of 238 in AR (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Park Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #93 of 454 statewide, top 23%, 349 students, 71% FRL); Corning Middle School (math 33% / reading 36%, grade F, #124 of 201 statewide, top 62%, 255 students, 72% FRL); Corning High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 228 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 56% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($487 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $55k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.09%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,362
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Hope St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+0%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $169 | 85 |
| 604 W Hazel St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (-2%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $89 | 75 |
| 215 Hope St St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+4%) | 21mo | $57,600 | $65 | 62 |
| 510 Edith St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+9%) | 6mo | $102,500 | $110 | 61 |
| 309 E Laurel | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+1%) | 18mo | $15,000 | $17 | 57 |
| 725 Sharon Cir | 0.29mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 742 (-14%) | 2mo | $15,000 | $20 | 57 |
| 411 SW 4th St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+14%) | 17mo | $106,000 | $108 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $15,855
- Equity at exit
- $27,154
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $45,763
- Equity at exit
- $38,606
Cash invested: $19,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72422
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $848 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$370
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $207 | +0% $182 | +5% $158 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $149 | +0% $182 | +5% $216 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $218 | -0.5pp $200 | base $182 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,625
- Closing costs
- $2,115
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 35-char remark
-
2026-06-12$70,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,949
- − Property taxes
- −$1,058
- − Insurance
- −$352
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$814
- − Management
- −$814
- − Depreciation
- −$2,051
- Taxable income
- $1,135
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corning School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500009
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,919
- Composite
- 28.73/100
- National rank
- #6679
- State rank
- #123 of 238 in AR
Livability — Corning
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #6594
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corning, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,302
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,564 people
- By 2030
- 12,834 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 11,498 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 10,325 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 8,228 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 6,675 · -50.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.83%
- Current HPI
- 191.7305
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+907.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $70,500 FSBO.com
- 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-29.4%/yrLatest (2025): $40 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…