2105 Knollwood Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,125
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * Value range pricing * * * Seller will entertain offers between $95,000-$125,000. List price equals median to upper range. Investor Special! Great opportunity for renovation or investment. This home offers a versatile floor plan with 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. The lower level features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a second kitchen, while the main level includes 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Property is being sold as-is and will require repairs and updates. Convenient layout with plenty of potential for the right buyer. Buyer to verify all information deemed important during the due diligence period.
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1973
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Built in 1973; Brick/mortar foundation; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Brick and wood fencing; View
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Separate dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Olive J Dodge Elementary School (math 6% / reading 35%, grade F, #453 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 875 students, 67% FRL); Murphy High School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,254 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,979/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1379% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $658 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.73%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,797
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5585 Fairfield Pl | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,210 (0%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $122 | 84 |
| 5716 Fairwood Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 | 2,457 (+11%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $124 | 72 |
| 5552 Fairfield Pl | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,125 (-4%) | 7mo | $287,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 6017 Laurel Wood Ct | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,202 (-0%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 5418 Yucca Dr | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 | 2,282 (+3%) | 5mo | $232,500 | $102 | 65 |
| 2112 Pine Needle Dr E | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,140 (-3%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 6000 Woodglen Ct | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,345 (+6%) | 1mo | $174,500 | $74 | 58 |
| 6009 Laurel Wood Ct | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 2,376 (+8%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $126 | 56 |
| 2344 W Huffman Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 2,442 (+10%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 2205 Woodhillcrest Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,921 (-13%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $135 | 53 |
| 2265 East Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,523 (+14%) | 7mo | $313,000 | $124 | 49 |
| 2573 East Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,950 (-12%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $133 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $36,026
- Equity at exit
- $14,183
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $98,260
- Equity at exit
- $8,225
Cash invested: $26,635 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36609
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$499
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $804
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $858 | -5% $831 | +0% $804 | +5% $777 | +10% $750 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $648 | -5% $726 | +0% $804 | +5% $882 | +10% $960 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $852 | -0.5pp $828 | base $804 | +0.5pp $779 | +1.0pp $754 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,781
- Closing costs
- $2,854
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1724 Rustic Wood Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5901 Ole Mill Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2316 Woodland Rd Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2004 Pine Needle Dr E Mobile, AL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2900 | $3,800 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4306 Via Alta Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 713 Raines Dr Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,858 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2754 Seaton Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $1,950 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6650 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $1,518 | $1.45 | 14d | 40 | 1.40mi |
| 4861 Woodcliff Dr N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6405 Shady Ln Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1056 Linlen Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1975 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 424 Byron Ave E Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1917 | $2,500 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07status $95,125 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 623-char remark
-
2026-06-05$95,125 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,989 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,989 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,328
- − Property taxes
- −$1,989
- − Insurance
- −$1,142
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,900
- − Management
- −$1,900
- − Depreciation
- −$2,767
- Taxable income
- $8,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,820
- Household income
- $49,830
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1379.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.06%
- Current HPI
- 200.0811
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $95,125 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,989 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…