Triplex
403 Walnut St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This is an amazing opportunity for your dream business. Currently used as a fitness studio with 2 one bedroom apartments. The property sits on two large city lots. This allows for 10+ parking spots. The potential options for this building are endless. The current studio space is ~1800sqft with a half bath and storage space. Behind the parking lot is a fenced yard area that could be used for various outdoor events. Build your dream and let the 2 apartments pay for the building. OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY 3/2 at 1PM
Key facts
- Strong updates
- Ample parking
- Separated utilities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Three-unit multifamily property with separate electric meters for each unit and a single gas meter; Each unit currently listed with $950 rent (actual/total); Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: See remarks for parking details
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Flat and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 200 x 43
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen in one unit
- Bedrooms: Three 1-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling; Ductless heating; Gas heating; Forced air; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Varied interior finishes; see remarks; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $249k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $403/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $249k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.83%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,968
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- 56.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $212,741
- Equity at exit
- $224,319
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.12×
- Total profit
- $565,989
- Equity at exit
- $483,752
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14901
- Home prices YoY
- 15.9%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 16.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$779
- Net cashflow
- $1,210
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,382 | -5% $1,296 | +0% $1,210 | +5% $1,124 | +10% $1,038 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $917 | -5% $1,064 | +0% $1,210 | +5% $1,357 | +10% $1,503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,336 | -0.5pp $1,273 | base $1,210 | +0.5pp $1,146 | +1.0pp $1,080 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 3 | $3,711 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $1,237 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $1,237 |
| #3 | 3 | 3 | $1,237 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,710 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $249,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $249,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $249,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $249,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $249,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-12$249,000 Active 1733-char remark
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2024-07-19soldstatus $110,000 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
This is an amazing opportunity for your dream business. Currently used as a fitness studio with 2 one bedroom apartments. The property sits on two large city lots. This allows for 10+ parking spots. The potential options for this building are endless. The current studio space is ~1800sqft with a half bath and storage space. Behind the parking lot is a fenced yard area that could be used for various outdoor events. Build your dream and let the 2 apartments pay for the building. OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY 3/2 at 1PM
-
2024-02-29$114,900 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
This is an amazing opportunity for your dream business. Currently used as a fitness studio with 2 one bedroom apartments. The property sits on two large city lots. This allows for 10+ parking spots. The potential options for this building are endless. The current studio space is ~1800sqft with a half bath and storage space. Behind the parking lot is a fenced yard area that could be used for various outdoor events. Build your dream and let the 2 apartments pay for the building. OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY 3/2 at 1PM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$3,735
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,562
- − Management
- −$3,562
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $11,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,694
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
The property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint and siding — Peeling paint and siding issues.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown grass and lack of landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting the exterior — Painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Landscaping and maintaining the yard would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint and siding · Peeling paint and siding issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown grass and lack of landscaping. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and repainting the exterior — Painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Landscaping and maintaining the yard would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,430
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 32.34%
- Current HPI
- 236.2674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+116.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $249,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-07-19 Sold (MLS) $110,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-02-29 Listed $114,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…