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1550 Rory Ln #215
B+ Composite 78.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1550 Rory Ln #215 · Simi Valley, CA 93063
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1988 $108/sqft · 17% below area Est $175k · 17% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WOW! What an incredible opportunity to own this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in one of East Simi Valley's well-maintained family parks, conveniently located near Rory Lane. Situated on a desirable wide corner lot, this property offers generous indoor and outdoor living spaces, including a large covered patio and enclosed porch area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a bright open floor plan with tall vaulted ceilings, abundant natural light, and a beautiful fireplace anchoring the spacious living room. The living area flows seamlessly into the dining space and oversized kitchen featuring ample cabinetry and storage. Privately situated on one side of th

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1988
  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Active Under Contract status; 30 photos available
  • Financial info: Property is on a lease land type

Exterior

  • Home design: Manufactured home (Sunnybrook SB566A3 model); 1988 construction; Main living level entry
  • Construction: Manufactured home width 24 ft, length 56 ft
  • Exterior features: Main level entry; Private pool; Private spa; No notable view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Other fireplace features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
  • Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
24.26%
Cash-on-cash
64.17%
DSCR
3.86
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,000
List price
$145,000
Delta
-17.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1550 Rory Ln #215 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 0mo $135,000 $100 100
1550 Rory Ln #70 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 11mo $219,700 $163 82
1550 Rory Ln #101 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 15mo $224,000 $167 82
1550 Rory Ln #76 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 20mo $225,000 $167 76
1550 Rory Ln #68 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 23mo $250,000 $186 72
6480 Katherine Rd #26 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 12mo $284,999 $212 64
6079 Cedar St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 5mo $525,000 $421 63
6480 Katherine Rd #79 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 3mo $170,000 $118 56
6480 Katherine St #109 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 6mo $180,000 $125 54
1550 Rory #197 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+12%) 22mo $260,000 $173 53
6480 Katherine #75 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (-14%) 3mo $168,000 $146 42
6480 Katherine Rd #135 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 13mo $183,000 $127 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$124,004
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
70.8%
Equity multiple
9.02×
Total profit
$325,651
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93063

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,016 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$843
Net cashflow
$2,171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5960 Juniper Ct Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1602 $3,700 $2.31 14d 1 0.15mi
1930 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,915 $3.43 2d 1 0.20mi
1700 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,915 $3.43 2d 3 0.22mi
1830 Rory Ln Simi Valley, CA 2.0 2.5 1437 $3,288 $2.29 44d 1 0.28mi
1948 Rory Ln #4 Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1583 $3,900 $2.46 24d 1 0.32mi
5676 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1380 $8,500 $6.16 44d 1 0.41mi
5664 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1800 $9,998 $5.55 2d 1 0.42mi
2163 Timberlane Ave Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1826 $4,300 $2.35 21d 1 0.63mi
911 Katherine Rd Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1501 $4,350 $2.90 44d 1 0.64mi
5312 Diane St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1812 $4,500 $2.48 44d 1 0.84mi
6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 3.0 1659 $4,300 $2.59 3d 1 0.98mi
6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1659 $4,300 $2.59 24d 1 0.98mi
5505 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 838 $3,469 $4.14 3d 19 1.03mi
5065 Hidden Park Ct Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $3,276 $3.26 2d 16 1.11mi
5377 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 881 $3,395 $3.85 44d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $145,000 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    listed $145,000 Active 1437-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,198
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,856
− Management
−$3,856
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$25,246
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,059
After-tax cash flow
$19,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Simi Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0636840
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,818
Composite
40.23/100
National rank
#3773
State rank
#170 of 517 in CA

Livability — Simi Valley

Score
63/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#15494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Simi Valley, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
128,600
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,066
Household income
$125,098
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
1322.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15% Asian 11% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -910.70%
Current HPI
297.7444
Rent YoY
▲ 5.22%
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending CSMAR
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $135,000 CSMAR
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent CSMAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $145,000 CSMAR

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $231 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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