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1607 College St SE
D- Composite 39.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

1607 College St SE · Decatur, AL 35601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1952 0.28 ac lot $137/sqft · at area comps Est $136k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own this charming 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home in a large lot.Great for investors as rental or great first home. New Roof and HVAC in 2021, new water heater 2024

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • Large lot
  • New water heater

Tags

LARGE LOTNEW ROOFNEW HVACNEW WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-26/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (26.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Walter Jackson Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #87 of 627 statewide, top 15%, 244 students, 73% FRL); Decatur Middle School (math 17% / reading 36%, grade F, #150 of 257 statewide, top 60%, 815 students, 77% FRL); Decatur High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,040 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 57% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $135k implies a 255% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,298 (26.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,323
List price
$134,900
Delta
-1.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1607 College St SE 0.00mi 2/1.0 988 (0%) 0mo $134,900 $137 100
1406 20th Ave SE 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (-1%) 3mo $151,000 $155 70
2004 Harrison St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (-4%) 4mo $99,000 $105 60
1628 8th St SE 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,012 (+2%) 8mo $155,000 $153 57
1907 Harrison St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,075 (+9%) 10mo $154,900 $144 52
1804 Enolam Blvd SE 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+4%) 2mo $164,900 $160 51
2006 13th St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,106 (+12%) 10mo $166,500 $151 50
2107 Harrison St SE 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,022 (+3%) 13mo $115,000 $113 50
1907 SE Enolam Blvd 0.75mi 2/1.0 1,020 (+3%) 14mo $141,000 $138 48
1607 10th Avenue Ct SE 0.56mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,095 (+11%) 10mo $175,000 $160 40
1216 Seton Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,110 (+12%) 8mo $157,000 $141 35
1304 Pennylane 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,102 (+12%) 11mo $140,000 $127 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-20,374
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,017
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35601

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$993 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $275/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$-2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $996
Max offer price $134,523
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $74 -5% $36 +0% $-2 +5% $-194 +10% $-241
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-41 +0% $-2 +5% $37 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $66 -0.5pp $32 base $-2 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1221 North St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 937 $775 $0.83 46d 2 0.26mi
1314 Pennylane SE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,198 $1.09 25d 1 0.60mi
1628 8th St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,200 $1.19 46d 1 0.66mi
1821 7th St SE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.0 908 $1,100 $1.21 25d 1 0.76mi
2234 Harrison St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $925 $1.09 16d 1 0.91mi
201 Bluebird Ln SW Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $898 $0.94 46d 11 1.19mi
2115 Central Pkwy SW Decatur, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0 821 $850 $1.03 46d 1 1.22mi
324 Cardinal Dr SW Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 681 $952 $1.40 46d 14 1.30mi
1602 Brookridge Dr SW Decatur, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $1,174 $1.47 46d 13 1.35mi
719 5th Ave SE #1 Decatur, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 46d 1 1.47mi
1220 2nd Ave SW Unit 2nd 7 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $825 $0.97 46d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this charming 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home in a large lot.Great for investors as rental or great first home. New Roof and HVAC in 2021, new water heater 2024

  2. 2026-04-24
    price $134,900 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this charming 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home in a large lot.Great for investors as rental or great first home. New Roof and HVAC in 2021, new water heater 2024

  3. 2026-03-30
    listed $139,900 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this charming 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home in a large lot.Great for investors as rental or great first home. New Roof and HVAC in 2021, new water heater 2024

  4. 2001-03-23
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$275 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$553 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 100.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,916
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$275
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$953
− Management
−$953
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$2,422
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$581
After-tax cash flow
$556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur City
NCES district ID
0101170
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,170
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7261
State rank
#66 of 129 in AL

Livability — Decatur

Score
72/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#5989

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, AL
County
Morgan County · 67,628 people
City population
67,628
Metro
Decatur, AL
Population (ZIP)
35,449
Household income
$51,429
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,775 people
By 2030
116,979 · -1.5%
By 2040
111,800 · -5.9%
By 2050
105,181 · -11.4%
By 2075
87,736 · -26.1%
By 2100
67,624 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.26%
Current HPI
247.8437
Rent YoY
▲ 4.67%
Metro
Decatur, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+255.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $134,900 VMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $139,900 VMLS
  • 2001-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $275 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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