604 W Main St · Marshall, MN 56258

$95,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 798 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market

Built 1910 8,015 sqft lot Est $108k · 12% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +12.8/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.2/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

3-bedroom home - 2 of the bedrooms don’t have closets. 1 - ¾ baths, and a 2-stall garage. Great for a starter home or investment property.

Key facts

• 8,015 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1910

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Gravel parking; 2-car garage (20 x 26)
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric fuel
• Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main and upper living levels
• Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
• Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.184 acres (60 x 132)

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with refrigerator and range
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — two on the upper level, one on the main level
• Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Partial basement
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (5'8" x 10'1")

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
• Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.2% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in MN, #1,265 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
• Marshall Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lyon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $58k; list at $95k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.32% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.61%
• DSCR: 1.78
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $107,730
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
604 W Main St	0.00mi	3/1.0	798 (0%)	0mo	$108,000	$135	100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.36×
• Total profit: $9,448
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $40,168
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56258

• Home prices YoY: -33.1%
• Active inventory: 212
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,251 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$60 /mo · $726/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $757

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $444	-5% $417	+0% $390	+5% $363	+10% $337
Rent	-10% $291	-5% $341	+0% $390	+5% $440	+10% $489
Rate	-1.0pp $438	-0.5pp $414	base $390	+0.5pp $366	+1.0pp $341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
231 Legion Field Rd Unit 104 Marshall, MN	2.0	1.0	980	$1,495	$1.53	44d	1	0.32mi
103 W Lyon St Unit 100 Marshall, MN	2.0	1.0	950	$1,350	$1.42	44d	1	0.42mi
1302 Birch St Marshall, MN	2.0	1.0	810	$990	$1.22	44d	7	1.23mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 151-char remark
2. 2026-05-05
   listed $95,000 Active 151-char remark
3. 2021-09-16
   soldstatus $57,752
4. 2004-06-01
   soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $726 · $60/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $895 · $75/mo
• Expected delta: +$169/yr (+$14/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,016
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$726
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,201
• − Management: −$1,201
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $3,328
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$799
• After-tax cash flow: $3,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2718940
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $47,798
• Composite: 40.09/100
• National rank: #3807
• State rank: #163 of 301 in MN

Livability — Marshall

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #47
• US rank: #1265

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marshall, MN
• County: Lyon County · 15,888 people
• City population: 15,888
• Metro: Marshall, MN
• Population (ZIP): 15,888
• Household income: $72,731
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 483.0

Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 25,369 people
• By 2030: 24,890 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 23,599 · -7.0%
• By 2050: 22,383 · -11.8%
• By 2075: 20,076 · -20.9%
• By 2100: 18,901 · -25.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 14% English 6% Lithuanian 6%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lyon

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.8) · D 33.1% · R 64.9% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -1.6pp · 2024: -31.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.90%
• Current HPI: 177.471
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Marshall, MN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+216.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-05 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $57,752 Public Records
• 2004-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $726 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.