449 Rose St · Follansbee, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property for sale. Motivated seller . This will most likely need to be a cash sale as home is in need of repairs. No utilities are on. home is being sold As-is. Property is still in the process of being cleaned out.
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 61 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential
- Financial info: Tax information available
- HOA & community: Information not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Information not provided
- Security: Information not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family ranch home; 1 story
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Information not provided
- Flooring: Information not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window AC units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Range, Refrigerator, Gas water heater; Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#49 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
- Brooke County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #26 of 55 in WV (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brooke Middle School (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Brooke High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 1,033 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Brooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $70 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $-68 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- Brooke County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 108.39%
- DSCR
- 5.82
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $30,912
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346 Main St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+13%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $42 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 98.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.97×
- Total profit
- $27,820
- Equity at exit
- $5,467
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.36×
- Total profit
- $63,607
- Equity at exit
- $6,306
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26037
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $814 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $284/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$171
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $456 | +0% $450 | +5% $445 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $418 | +0% $450 | +5% $482 | +10% $515 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $455 | base $450 | +0.5pp $445 | +1.0pp $440 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $20,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $20,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $20,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $20,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $20,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $20,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $27,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $27,000
-
2026-04-20$35,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $284 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $284 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$284
- − Insurance
- −$766
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$781
- − Management
- −$781
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $5,448
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,308
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brooke County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400150
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,826
- Composite
- 26.0/100
- National rank
- #7319
- State rank
- #26 of 55 in WV
Livability — Follansbee
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #5909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Follansbee, WV
- City population
- 5,727
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,727
Population outlook (Brooke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,250 people
- By 2030
- 21,459 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 19,659 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 18,029 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 15,076 · -32.2%
- By 2100
- 12,164 · -45.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brooke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.6) · D 26.8% · R 71.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -44.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.6 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+11.2 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.34%
- Current HPI
- 219.1118
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-22.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $27,000 WBOR
- 2026-04-20 Listed $35,000 WBOR
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $284 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…