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449 Rose St
A- Composite 81.03
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$20,000

449 Rose St · Follansbee, WV 26037
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1920 7,492 sqft lot Est $31k · 35% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment property for sale. Motivated seller . This will most likely need to be a cash sale as home is in need of repairs. No utilities are on. home is being sold As-is. Property is still in the process of being cleaned out.

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 61 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential
  • Financial info: Tax information available
  • HOA & community: Information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Information not provided
  • Security: Information not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family ranch home; 1 story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Flooring: Information not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window AC units; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Range, Refrigerator, Gas water heater; Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#49 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
  • Brooke County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #26 of 55 in WV (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Brooke Middle School (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Brooke High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 1,033 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Brooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $70 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $-68 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Brooke County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $18,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.07%
Cap rate
36.64%
Cash-on-cash
108.39%
DSCR
5.82
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$30,912
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
346 Main St 0.13mi 2/1.0 832 (+13%) 6mo $35,000 $42 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
98.9%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$27,820
Equity at exit
$5,467
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.36×
Total profit
$63,607
Equity at exit
$6,306

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26037

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$814 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $284/yr
Insurance
$8
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$171
Net cashflow
$450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $244
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $462 -5% $456 +0% $450 +5% $445 +10% $439
Rent -10% $386 -5% $418 +0% $450 +5% $482 +10% $515
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $455 base $450 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $20,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $20,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $20,000 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $20,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $20,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $20,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,000 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $27,000 Active 39 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $27,000
  19. 2026-04-20
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$284 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$284 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,762
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$284
− Insurance
−$766
− Repairs & maintenance
−$781
− Management
−$781
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$5,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,308
After-tax cash flow
$4,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brooke County Schools
NCES district ID
5400150
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,826
Composite
26.0/100
National rank
#7319
State rank
#26 of 55 in WV

Livability — Follansbee

Score
72/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#5909

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Follansbee, WV
City population
5,727
Population (ZIP)
5,727

Population outlook (Brooke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,250 people
By 2030
21,459 · -3.6%
By 2040
19,659 · -11.6%
By 2050
18,029 · -19.0%
By 2075
15,076 · -32.2%
By 2100
12,164 · -45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brooke

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.6) · D 26.8% · R 71.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -44.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.6 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+11.2 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.34%
Current HPI
219.1118
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-22.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $27,000 WBOR
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $35,000 WBOR

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $284 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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