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206 Cougar Way
D Composite 44.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$359,000

206 Cougar Way · Rotonda, FL 33947
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2002 7,500 sqft lot Est $374k · at est. $7/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Incredible value for a three bedroom, two bathroom, two car garage pool home in the heart of lovely Southwest Florida; we call it PARADISE! Offering 1,648 square feet under air, this 2002 build sits proudly in the X flood zone—no flood insurance required! Bright, open, and welcoming, the home features an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, tile flooring throughout, and multiple sliding glass doors that bring in beautiful natural light. Step outside to a spacious covered lanai and a screen enclosed pool with a water feature, resurfaced just four years ago—perfect for year round Florida living. The fenced backyard adds privacy, and the in

Key facts

  • Covered lanai
  • Fenced backyard
  • Screen enclosed pool

Tags

COVERED LANAISCREEN ENCLOSED POOLWATER FEATUREFENCED BACKYARDINTERIOR WASHER AND DRYERSEVEN MILES TO GULF BEACHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Living area about 1,648 sq ft (public records); Building area total about 2,356 sq ft
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Legacy Property Management) with required annual fee of $95 (about $7.92/month); Deed restrictions; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing; Residential zoning (RSF5); Homestead exempt
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with gunite in-ground private pool with screen enclosure
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Screened porch; Sliding doors; Rain gutters; Chain link fence; Mature landscaping; Level lot; Asphalt public road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Open floor plan; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Inside utility
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $359k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (11.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (27.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 869 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $190k; list at $359k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,492 (27.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.97%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$374,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Spur Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,659 (+1%) 9mo $430,000 $259 88
105 Spur Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,637 (-1%) 8mo $425,000 $260 84
27 Mariner Ln 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,652 (+0%) 1mo $420,000 $254 71
10157 Seabrook Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,690 (+2%) 5mo $395,000 $234 63
257 Indian Creek Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,607 (-2%) 1mo $335,000 $208 62
15 Mariner Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,480 (-10%) 1mo $370,000 $250 61
13 Bunker Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,597 (-3%) 7mo $340,000 $213 60
25 Mariner Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,592 (-3%) 11mo $330,000 $207 60
36 Pinehurst Ct 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,720 (+4%) 2mo $390,000 $227 60
7346 Bargello St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,530 (-7%) 4mo $275,000 $180 57
254 Mark Twain Ln 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,874 (+14%) 2mo $399,900 $213 39
7305 Innsbrook St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,462 (-11%) 14mo $250,000 $171 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-11,332
Equity at exit
$127,250
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$14,167
Equity at exit
$172,794

Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33947

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
869
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,615 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,883
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,295/yr
Insurance
$150
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$7
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$-231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,907
Max offer price $318,171
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-28 -5% $-130 +0% $-231 +5% $-333 +10% $-434
Rent -10% $-438 -5% $-334 +0% $-231 +5% $-128 +10% $-25
Rate -1.0pp $-50 -0.5pp $-140 base $-231 +0.5pp $-324 +1.0pp $-419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,750
Closing costs
$10,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
511 Sweetwater Dr Rotonda West, FL 4.0 2.5 2160 $2,200 $1.02 23d 1 0.21mi
502 Sunset Rd N Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,100 $1.28 23d 1 0.29mi
285 Mark Twain Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1759 $1,750 $0.99 23d 1 0.41mi
22 Mariner Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 2015 $4,200 $2.08 23d 1 0.48mi
25 Fairway Rd Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 2068 $2,375 $1.15 23d 1 0.51mi
289 Boundary Blvd Unit 202 Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,645 $1.41 23d 1 0.72mi
278 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 1138 $1,625 $1.43 23d 1 0.78mi
65 Fairway Rd Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1865 $2,700 $1.45 23d 1 0.81mi
36 Bunker Cir Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 1533 $3,999 $2.61 23d 1 0.88mi
7344 Brookhaven Ter Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1594 $2,095 $1.31 23d 1 0.91mi
80 Mariner Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 2052 $4,800 $2.34 23d 1 0.92mi
8256 Shore Lake Dr Englewood, FL 3.0 3.0 2201 $2,500 $1.14 23d 1 0.96mi
181 Bunker Rd Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $4,600 $3.39 23d 1 1.01mi
10123 Bay Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 2010 $2,150 $1.07 23d 1 1.03mi
7160 Carlsbad Ter Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 2061 $4,500 $2.18 23d 1 1.07mi
9400 New Martinsville Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1879 $3,300 $1.76 23d 1 1.08mi
527 Rotonda Cir Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1586 $2,375 $1.50 23d 1 1.14mi
226 Boundary Blvd Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 15d 1 1.17mi
42 Mark Twain Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.5 1677 $2,800 $1.67 23d 1 1.23mi
8363 Sago Ct Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1360 $1,950 $1.43 23d 1 1.25mi
87 Mark Twain Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,500 $2.02 23d 1 1.31mi
239 Annapolis Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $2,000 $1.14 23d 1 1.40mi
195 Rotonda Blvd W Unit A Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,850 $1.59 23d 1 1.44mi
230 Annapolis Ln Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,800 $1.02 23d 1 1.44mi
188 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 2086 $2,000 $0.96 23d 1 1.48mi
114 Albatross Rd Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1648 $5,300 $3.22 23d 1 1.49mi
9416 Anita Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,750 $1.51 15d 1 1.49mi
589 Rotonda Cir Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.5 2190 $4,200 $1.92 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$7 · $84/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $359,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $359,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $359,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $359,000 Active
  7. 2004-04-21
    soldstatus $190,000
  8. 2002-04-17
    soldstatus $114,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,295 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,980 · $248/mo
Expected delta
+$685/yr (+$57/mo · 29.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 90% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,379
− Mortgage interest
−$20,110
− Property taxes
−$2,295
− Insurance
−$2,592
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,510
− Management
−$2,510
− HOA
−$84
− Depreciation
−$10,444
Taxable loss
−$9,166
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,200
After-tax cash flow
$-574/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Rotonda

Score
67/100
State rank
#548
US rank
#10359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
10,490
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
10,447
Household income
$80,091
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
91.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.25%
Current HPI
311.3231
Rent YoY
▼ -0.22%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $359,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,295 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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