7087 Chatfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and check out this beautifully renovated 3 beds 1 bath home in the heart of SW Detroit. Featuring recently updated windows, a renovated kitchen, and a refreshed bathroom, this home is ready for you to move in and make it your own. * * * Property is located across of street from Roberto Clemente Academy !!!!
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Refreshed bathroom
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($341/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.97%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,707
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 42.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7774 Cahalan St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 749 (-10%) | 11mo | $158,000 | $211 | 52 |
| 1041 Lewerenz St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 954 (+14%) | 20mo | $71,000 | $74 | 42 |
| 8379 Whittaker St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 755 (-10%) | 23mo | $67,500 | $89 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $69,909
- Equity at exit
- $112,610
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $204,494
- Equity at exit
- $242,848
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48209
- Home prices YoY
- 21.8%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,141 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,984/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6720 Regular St Unit 6724 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7263 Senator St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6628 W Lafayette Blvd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $965 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2508 Inglis St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2488 Woodmere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,453 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 764 Woodmere St Apt 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-01-13$125,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Come and check out this beautifully renovated 3 beds 1 bath home in the heart of SW Detroit. Featuring recently updated windows, a renovated kitchen, and a refreshed bathroom, this home is ready for you to move in and make it your own. * * * Property is located across of street from Roberto Clemente Academy !!!!
-
2026-01-13$125,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Come and check out this beautifully renovated 3 beds 1 bath home in the heart of SW Detroit. Featuring recently updated windows, a renovated kitchen, and a refreshed bathroom, this home is ready for you to move in and make it your own. * * * Property is located across of street from Roberto Clemente Academy !!!!
-
2023-10-27soldstatus $120,000
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2023-09-25status Pending
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2023-09-25status Pending
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2023-09-22soldstatus $120,000 Sold
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2023-09-22soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2023-06-09$120,000 Active
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2023-06-09$120,000 Active
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2023-05-10soldstatus $23,000 Sold
-
2023-05-10soldstatus $23,000 Closed
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2023-04-25$24,900 Active
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2023-04-25$24,900 Active
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2013-07-18soldstatus $11,532
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2013-07-18soldstatus $11,532
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2013-06-25historical
-
2013-06-25historical
-
2013-06-14$9,000
-
2013-06-14$9,000
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2004-10-14soldstatus $52,000
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2004-07-14soldstatus $52,000
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2004-07-07historical
-
2004-05-07$55,000
-
2004-01-07$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,984 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,984 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,691
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,984
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,095
- − Management
- −$1,095
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,747
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$419
- After-tax cash flow
- $760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,184
- Household income
- $43,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 62%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 73.77%
- Current HPI
- 412.9753
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+127.3% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-22 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-22 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-09 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-09 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-05-10 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-10 Sold (MLS) $23,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-04-25 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-25 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-07-18 Sold (MLS) $11,532 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-07-18 Sold (MLS) $11,532 REALCOMP
- 2013-06-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-06-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-06-14 Listed $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-06-14 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-14 Sold (MLS) $52,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-07-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-05-07 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-07 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,984 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…